Football · Mozambique Mocambola · 16/09, 14:45
Prediction: Ferroviario Beira vs Black Bulls
Team pages: Ferroviario Beira · Black Bulls
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Ferroviario Beira0.96
Black Bulls0.96
1X2
Ferroviario Beira
Draw
Black Bulls
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferroviario Beira
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Black Bulls
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferroviario Beira
1–2–3
Black Bulls
(6 last)
- Black Bulls0-0Ferroviario Beira
- Ferroviario Beira0-0Black Bulls
- Black Bulls1-0Ferroviario Beira
- Black Bulls2-1Ferroviario Beira
- Black Bulls1-3Ferroviario Beira
- Black Bulls1-0Ferroviario Beira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferroviario Beira 1590 · Black Bulls 1583
| Ferroviario Beira | Draw | Black Bulls | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 34% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Black Bulls: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferroviario Beira | Black Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviario Beira 1–2–3 Black Bulls
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ferroviario Beira |
| 11/09/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Ferroviario Beira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Black Bulls |
| 17/05/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ferroviario Beira |
| 11/05/24 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Ferroviario Beira |
| 25/09/23 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Ferroviario Beira |
| 02/10/22 Mozambique Mocambola | Black Bulls | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ferroviario Beira |
Standings · Mozambique Mocambola
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Black Bulls | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 38 |
| 2 | Ferroviario Beira | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Costa Do Sol | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Ferroviario de Nampula | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | UD Songo | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 23 |
| 8 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 9 | AD Pemba | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Vilankulo FC | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 17 |
| 11 | Baía de Pemba F.C | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| 12 | LD Sofala | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 15 |
| 13 | CD Maxaquene | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferroviario Beira | Black Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| CD Maxaquene | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Costa Do Sol | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Chingale de Tete | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| UD Songo | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Ferroviario Lichinga | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Vilankulo FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| AD Pemba | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Ferroviario de Nampula | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 4 D 0 L | 7 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Black Bulls (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferroviario Beira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/08 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/08 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/07 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Black Bulls
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 26/08 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/08 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferroviario Beira vs Black Bulls?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Ferroviario Beira 33%, draw 34%, Black Bulls 33%.
How many goals are expected in Ferroviario Beira vs Black Bulls?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Ferroviario Beira 0.96 · Black Bulls 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferroviario Beira vs Black Bulls?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.