Football · Romania Liga 2 · 22/09, 19:00

Prediction: ASA Targu Mures vs CS Dinamo Bucuresti

Team pages: ASA Targu Mures · CS Dinamo Bucuresti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

ASA Targu Mures2.76

CS Dinamo Bucuresti0.76

1X2

81% 13% 6%

ASA Targu Mures Draw CS Dinamo Bucuresti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

ASA Targu Mures 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLDWLWD

CS Dinamo Bucuresti 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

ASA Targu Mures 2–0 CS Dinamo Bucuresti (2 last)

CS Dinamo Bucuresti1-3ASA Targu Mures
CS Dinamo Bucuresti0-2ASA Targu Mures

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASA Targu Mures 1532 · CS Dinamo Bucuresti 1389

	ASA Targu Mures	Draw	CS Dinamo Bucuresti
Our model	78%	15%	7%
Market	83%	12%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASA Targu Mures (rating 1532 vs 1389).
H2H favours ASA Targu Mures: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASA Targu Mures	CS Dinamo Bucuresti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	0.8 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.4 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.7	1.1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.11

X7.50

219.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)2.00

2 (+2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.11▼	Bet365 1.11
X	6.50 → 7.50▲	Bet365 7.50
2	12.00 → 19.00▲	Bet365 19.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +3’	1.17	6.50	12.00
08:27 +4’	1.11▼	7.50▲	19.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASA Targu Mures 2–0–0 CS Dinamo Bucuresti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Romania Liga 2	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	1-3 HT 1-2	ASA Targu Mures
06/12/25 Romania Liga 2	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	0-2 HT 0-0	ASA Targu Mures

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Slatina	7	6	1	0	15	4	19
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	7	5	2	0	14	4	17
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	7	4	3	0	16	10	15
4	CS Concordia Chiajna	7	5	0	2	17	12	15
5	Scolar Resita	7	5	0	2	11	8	15
6	FC Bacau	7	4	2	1	17	6	14
7	Chindia Targoviste	7	4	0	3	16	8	12
8	Gloria Bistrita	7	4	0	3	11	8	12
9	Cetate Suceava	7	3	2	2	13	9	11
10	AFC Metalul Buzau	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	CS Afumati	7	3	2	2	10	12	11
12	FC Bihor Oradea	7	2	3	2	11	7	9
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
14	ASA Targu Mures	7	2	2	3	8	12	8
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
16	CSC 1599 Selimbar	7	1	3	3	6	12	6
17	CS Stefanesti	7	2	0	5	6	14	6
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	7	1	1	5	11	11	4
19	CSM Satu Mare	7	0	4	3	3	8	4
20	CSC Dumbravita	7	0	3	4	5	14	3
21	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	7	1	0	6	6	23	3
22	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	7	0	2	5	7	16	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASA Targu Mures	CS Dinamo Bucuresti
CS Afumati	2-2 D	1-2 L
CSM Slatina	0-0 D	1-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASA Targu Mures (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASA Targu Mures

DWWLLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
05/09	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
30/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
22/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
15/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
08/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	10	2	L
01/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-2	3	7	L
09/05	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-1	3-1	6	2	W
02/05	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-0	10	2	W
25/04	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

CS Dinamo Bucuresti

LDLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	2-3	2-5	3	2	L
05/09	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-5	0-8	2	4	L
29/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
21/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	1	5	W
15/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
08/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-3	1-5	1	3	L
01/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
23/05	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
16/05	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
09/05	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-3	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASA Targu Mures vs CS Dinamo Bucuresti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASA Targu Mures win (81%). Probabilities: ASA Targu Mures 81%, draw 13%, CS Dinamo Bucuresti 6%.

How many goals are expected in ASA Targu Mures vs CS Dinamo Bucuresti?

The model expects 3.52 goals (ASA Targu Mures 2.76 · CS Dinamo Bucuresti 0.76), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASA Targu Mures vs CS Dinamo Bucuresti?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.