Football · Romania Liga 2 · 19/09, 10:00

Prediction: CS Concordia Chiajna vs AFC Metalul Buzau

Team pages: CS Concordia Chiajna · AFC Metalul Buzau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

CS Concordia Chiajna1.73

AFC Metalul Buzau1.38

1X2

44% 26% 29%

CS Concordia Chiajna Draw AFC Metalul Buzau

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Concordia Chiajna 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWLWLW

AFC Metalul Buzau 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWLLDW

Head-to-head

CS Concordia Chiajna 1–1 AFC Metalul Buzau (2 last)

CS Concordia Chiajna1-2AFC Metalul Buzau
CS Concordia Chiajna1-0AFC Metalul Buzau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Concordia Chiajna 1578 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1559

	CS Concordia Chiajna	Draw	AFC Metalul Buzau
Our model	45%	26%	30%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Concordia Chiajna	AFC Metalul Buzau
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	3.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:23 +3’	2.05	3.30	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Concordia Chiajna 1–0–1 AFC Metalul Buzau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/10/25 Romania Liga 2	CS Concordia Chiajna	1-2 HT 0-2	AFC Metalul Buzau
21/09/24 Romania Liga 2	CS Concordia Chiajna	1-0 HT 0-0	AFC Metalul Buzau

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Slatina	7	6	1	0	15	4	19
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	7	5	2	0	14	4	17
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	7	4	3	0	16	10	15
4	CS Concordia Chiajna	7	5	0	2	17	12	15
5	Scolar Resita	6	5	0	1	11	7	15
6	Chindia Targoviste	7	4	0	3	16	8	12
7	Gloria Bistrita	7	4	0	3	11	8	12
8	FC Bacau	6	3	2	1	16	6	11
9	Cetate Suceava	7	3	2	2	13	9	11
10	AFC Metalul Buzau	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	CS Afumati	7	3	2	2	10	12	11
12	FC Bihor Oradea	7	2	3	2	11	7	9
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
14	ASA Targu Mures	7	2	2	3	8	12	8
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
16	CSC 1599 Selimbar	7	1	3	3	6	12	6
17	CS Stefanesti	7	2	0	5	6	14	6
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	7	1	1	5	11	11	4
19	CSM Satu Mare	7	0	4	3	3	8	4
20	CSC Dumbravita	7	0	3	4	5	14	3
21	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	7	1	0	6	6	23	3
22	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	7	0	2	5	7	16	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Concordia Chiajna	AFC Metalul Buzau
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	5-2 W	1-0 W
CS Afumati	1-2 L	3-1 W
Metaloglobus Bucuresti	3-1 W	0-0 D
Gloria Bistrita	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CS Concordia Chiajna (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Concordia Chiajna

WLDWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	3-2	5-2	9	2	W
05/09	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
29/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
22/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-3	1-5	3	3	L
15/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	6	9	W
08/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
01/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
09/05	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	3	9	D
02/05	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
25/04	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	3	5	W

AFC Metalul Buzau

WLWDWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
05/09	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
29/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-3	7	7	L
22/08	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
15/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
08/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-1	3-1	4	4	W
01/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
09/05	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
02/05	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
25/04	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Concordia Chiajna vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Concordia Chiajna win (44%). Probabilities: CS Concordia Chiajna 44%, draw 26%, AFC Metalul Buzau 29%.

How many goals are expected in CS Concordia Chiajna vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model expects 3.11 goals (CS Concordia Chiajna 1.73 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1.38), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Concordia Chiajna vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.