Football · Romania Liga 2 · 19/09, 10:00

Prediction: CSM Satu Mare vs CS Afumati

Team pages: CSM Satu Mare · CS Afumati

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

CSM Satu Mare1.14

CS Afumati1.41

1X2

30% 28% 42%

CSM Satu Mare Draw CS Afumati

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Satu Mare 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLDLDD

CS Afumati 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDWWD

Head-to-head

CSM Satu Mare 2–0 CS Afumati (2 last)

CS Afumati1-3CSM Satu Mare
CSM Satu Mare2-1CS Afumati

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Satu Mare 1472 · CS Afumati 1485

	CSM Satu Mare	Draw	CS Afumati
Our model	29%	29%	42%
Market	30%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CSM Satu Mare: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSM Satu Mare	CS Afumati
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.25

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:23 +4’	3.00	3.25	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Satu Mare 2–0–0 CS Afumati

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Romania Liga 2	CS Afumati	1-3 HT 1-0	CSM Satu Mare
13/12/25 Romania Liga 2	CSM Satu Mare	2-1 HT 0-1	CS Afumati

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Slatina	7	6	1	0	15	4	19
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	7	5	2	0	14	4	17
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	7	4	3	0	16	10	15
4	CS Concordia Chiajna	7	5	0	2	17	12	15
5	Scolar Resita	6	5	0	1	11	7	15
6	Chindia Targoviste	7	4	0	3	16	8	12
7	Gloria Bistrita	7	4	0	3	11	8	12
8	FC Bacau	6	3	2	1	16	6	11
9	Cetate Suceava	7	3	2	2	13	9	11
10	AFC Metalul Buzau	7	3	2	2	8	7	11
11	CS Afumati	7	3	2	2	10	12	11
12	FC Bihor Oradea	7	2	3	2	11	7	9
13	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
14	ASA Targu Mures	7	2	2	3	8	12	8
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
16	CSC 1599 Selimbar	7	1	3	3	6	12	6
17	CS Stefanesti	7	2	0	5	6	14	6
18	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	7	1	1	5	11	11	4
19	CSM Satu Mare	7	0	4	3	3	8	4
20	CSC Dumbravita	7	0	3	4	5	14	3
21	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	7	1	0	6	6	23	3
22	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	7	0	2	5	7	16	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Satu Mare	CS Afumati
CSC Dumbravita	1-1 D	0-1 L
CS Concordia Chiajna	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Satu Mare

WDDDLLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/09	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
22/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
15/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
08/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
05/08	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
09/05	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
02/05	CS Tunari Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
25/04	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-1	3-1	5	3	W

CS Afumati

LWLWLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
05/09	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	10	6	W
29/08	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/08	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	7	2	L
08/08	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
01/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	9	5	W
09/05	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
02/05	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
25/04	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Satu Mare vs CS Afumati?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Afumati win (42%). Probabilities: CSM Satu Mare 30%, draw 28%, CS Afumati 42%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Satu Mare vs CS Afumati?

The model expects 2.55 goals (CSM Satu Mare 1.14 · CS Afumati 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Satu Mare vs CS Afumati?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.