Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 20/09, 14:30
Prediction: Karpaty Lviv vs FC Veres Rivne
Team pages: Karpaty Lviv · FC Veres Rivne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Karpaty Lviv1.81
FC Veres Rivne0.6
1X2
Karpaty Lviv
Draw
FC Veres Rivne
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Karpaty Lviv
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Veres Rivne
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Karpaty Lviv
3–2–1
FC Veres Rivne
(6 last)
- Karpaty Lviv2-0FC Veres Rivne
- FC Veres Rivne0-0Karpaty Lviv
- Karpaty Lviv5-0FC Veres Rivne
- FC Veres Rivne0-0Karpaty Lviv
- Karpaty Lviv1-2FC Veres Rivne
- Karpaty Lviv2-0FC Veres Rivne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karpaty Lviv 1576 · FC Veres Rivne 1483
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | FC Veres Rivne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 24% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 21% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karpaty Lviv (rating 1576 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Karpaty Lviv: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Karpaty Lviv | FC Veres Rivne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karpaty Lviv 3–2–1 FC Veres Rivne
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Karpaty Lviv | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Veres Rivne |
| 29/11/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Veres Rivne | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 07/12/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Karpaty Lviv | 5-0 HT 2-0 | FC Veres Rivne |
| 03/08/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Veres Rivne | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Karpaty Lviv |
| 19/07/19 Europe Friendlies | Karpaty Lviv | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Veres Rivne |
| 27/06/19 Europe Friendlies | Karpaty Lviv | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Veres Rivne |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Karpaty Lviv | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Kharkiv | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | LNZ Lebedyn | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 9 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Chernomorets Odessa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Veres Rivne | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | FC Livyi Bereh | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Obolon Kyiv | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4 |
| 15 | Kolos Kovalivka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | FC Kudrivka | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Karpaty Lviv | FC Veres Rivne |
|---|---|---|
| LNZ Lebedyn | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| FC Zorya Lugansk | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Kharkiv | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Karpaty Lviv (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karpaty Lviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
FC Veres Rivne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 14/08 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 17/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karpaty Lviv vs FC Veres Rivne?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Karpaty Lviv win (66%). Probabilities: Karpaty Lviv 66%, draw 22%, FC Veres Rivne 11%.
How many goals are expected in Karpaty Lviv vs FC Veres Rivne?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Karpaty Lviv 1.81 · FC Veres Rivne 0.6), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Karpaty Lviv vs FC Veres Rivne?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.