Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 20/09, 23:15
Prediction: Deportivo Cali (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)
Team pages: Deportivo Cali (W) · Atletico Nacional (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Deportivo Cali (W)1.57
Atletico Nacional (W)0.86
1X2
Deportivo Cali (W)
Draw
Atletico Nacional (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cali (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Atletico Nacional (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cali (W)
4–2–0
Atletico Nacional (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-2Deportivo Cali (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-2Deportivo Cali (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-2Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)1-1Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)0-2Deportivo Cali (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Cali (W) 1541 · Atletico Nacional (W) 1511
| Deportivo Cali (W) | Draw | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Cali (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cali (W) | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cali (W) 4–2–0 Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 01/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 07/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 03/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 24/05/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 14/04/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/09 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 04/09 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cali (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cali (W) 52%, draw 28%, Atletico Nacional (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Deportivo Cali (W) 1.57 · Atletico Nacional (W) 0.86), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.