Football · Algeria Division 1 · 18/09, 17:00

Prediction: USM Khenchela vs ES Ben Aknoun

Team pages: USM Khenchela · ES Ben Aknoun

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
USM Khenchela1.59
ES Ben Aknoun1.18
1X2
45% 28% 27%
USM Khenchela Draw ES Ben Aknoun
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
USM Khenchela 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLLWDWWD
ES Ben Aknoun 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDWLWLDDWD
Head-to-head
USM Khenchela 1–2–1 ES Ben Aknoun (4 last)
  • ES Ben Aknoun2-3USM Khenchela
  • USM Khenchela1-1ES Ben Aknoun
  • ES Ben Aknoun3-2USM Khenchela
  • USM Khenchela0-0ES Ben Aknoun
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USM Khenchela 1533 · ES Ben Aknoun 1504
USM KhenchelaDrawES Ben Aknoun
Our model46%27%27%
Market45%29%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

USM KhenchelaES Ben Aknoun
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.21.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.11.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.32.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · USM Khenchela 121 ES Ben Aknoun

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Algeria Division 1
ES Ben Aknoun2-3
HT 0-0
USM Khenchela
20/09/25
Algeria Division 1
USM Khenchela1-1
HT 0-0
ES Ben Aknoun
06/04/24
Algeria Division 1
ES Ben Aknoun3-2
HT 1-1
USM Khenchela
25/11/23
Algeria Division 1
USM Khenchela0-0
HT 0-0
ES Ben Aknoun

Standings · Algeria Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Constantine 2110 414
2 USM Alger 2110 204
3 CR Belouizdad 2110 434
4 ES Ben Aknoun 2110 324
5 MB Rouissat 2101 213
6 JS Kabylie 1100 103
7 MC Oran 1100 203
8 Olympique Akbou 2101 223
9 US Biskra 1010 221
10 USM Khenchela 1010 001
11 CR Temouchent 2011 131
12 ASO Chlef 2011 361
13 JS Saoura 0000 000
13 MC Alger 0000 000
15 ES Setif 2002 020
16 JS El Biar 2002 040

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUSM KhenchelaES Ben Aknoun
USM Alger 0-0 D 2-2 D
CR Belouizdad 1-3 L 1-3 L
ES Mostaganem 3-0 W 3-0 W
MC Alger 1-2 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USM Khenchela

LWWLLWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
05/06 MB Rouissat
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 76 W
25/05 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
2-1 2-1 34 W
19/05 CS Constantine
Algeria Division 1
2-2 2-2 51 D
08/05 MC El Bayadh
Algeria Division 1
1-0 2-1 W
04/05 CR Belouizdad
Algeria Division 1
1-2 1-3 12 L
17/04 JS Saoura
Algeria Division 1
0-1 0-3 22 L
10/04 ES Mostaganem
Algeria Division 1
2-0 3-0 51 W
05/04 Paradou AC
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-0 73 W
17/03 MC Alger
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-2 45 L

ES Ben Aknoun

LDWLWLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/09 US Biskra
Algeria Division 1
1-2 2-2 63 D
03/09 ES Setif
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 41 W
06/06 Olympique Akbou
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-1 83 D
04/06 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
0-1 2-2 51 D
24/05 CR Belouizdad
Algeria Division 1
1-3 1-3 13 L
19/05 ES Mostaganem
Algeria Division 1
2-0 3-0 53 W
21/04 MC Alger
Algeria Division 1
1-0 2-3 25 L
10/04 ASO Chlef
Algeria Division 1
2-0 2-1 32 W
05/04 ES Setif
Algeria Division 1
1-1 1-1 32 D
01/04 JS Kabylie
Algeria Division 1
1-2 1-3 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USM Khenchela vs ES Ben Aknoun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USM Khenchela win (45%). Probabilities: USM Khenchela 45%, draw 28%, ES Ben Aknoun 27%.

How many goals are expected in USM Khenchela vs ES Ben Aknoun?

The model expects 2.77 goals (USM Khenchela 1.59 · ES Ben Aknoun 1.18), with a 60% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in USM Khenchela vs ES Ben Aknoun?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.