Football · Algeria Division 1 · 18/09, 22:00
Prediction: ASO Chlef vs MC Oran
Team pages: ASO Chlef
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
ASO Chlef1.22
MC Oran0.95
1X2
ASO Chlef
Draw
MC Oran
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
ASO Chlef
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
MC Oran
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASO Chlef
3–2–1
MC Oran
(6 last)
- MC Oran1-0ASO Chlef
- ASO Chlef1-0MC Oran
- ASO Chlef1-0MC Oran
- MC Oran0-0ASO Chlef
- MC Oran1-1ASO Chlef
- ASO Chlef2-0MC Oran
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASO Chlef 1466 · MC Oran 1550
| ASO Chlef | Draw | MC Oran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MC Oran (rating 1466 vs 1550).
- H2H favours ASO Chlef: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASO Chlef | MC Oran | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.3 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASO Chlef 3–2–1 MC Oran
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 Algeria Division 1 | MC Oran | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ASO Chlef |
| 18/12/25 Algeria Division 1 | ASO Chlef | 1-0 HT 1-0 | MC Oran |
| 25/02/25 Algeria Division 1 | ASO Chlef | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MC Oran |
| 04/10/24 Algeria Division 1 | MC Oran | 0-0 HT 0-0 | ASO Chlef |
| 09/02/24 Algeria Division 1 | MC Oran | 1-1 HT 1-0 | ASO Chlef |
| 15/09/23 Algeria Division 1 | ASO Chlef | 2-0 HT 0-0 | MC Oran |
Standings · Algeria Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Constantine | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | USM Alger | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | CR Belouizdad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | ES Ben Aknoun | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | MB Rouissat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | JS Kabylie | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | MC Oran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Olympique Akbou | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | US Biskra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | USM Khenchela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CR Temouchent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | ASO Chlef | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | JS Saoura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | MC Alger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | ES Setif | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | JS El Biar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASO Chlef | MC Oran |
|---|---|---|
| CS Constantine | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| CR Belouizdad | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| JS Kabylie | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| USM Alger | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASO Chlef
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | CS Constantine Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 05/06 | MC Alger Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | JS Kabylie Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/05 | MC Oran Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | USM Alger Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/03 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | ES Mostaganem Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
MC Oran
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | CR Temouchent Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | USM Alger Algeria Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | ASO Chlef Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | JS Kabylie Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | ES Setif Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 09/04 | MB Rouissat Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | CS Constantine Algeria Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/03 | MC El Bayadh Algeria Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | JS Saoura Algeria Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASO Chlef vs MC Oran?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASO Chlef win (41%). Probabilities: ASO Chlef 41%, draw 32%, MC Oran 27%.
How many goals are expected in ASO Chlef vs MC Oran?
The model expects 2.17 goals (ASO Chlef 1.22 · MC Oran 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in ASO Chlef vs MC Oran?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.