Football · Algeria Division 1 · 19/09, 20:00

Prediction: ES Setif vs CS Constantine

Team pages: ES Setif · CS Constantine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

ES Setif1.4

CS Constantine0.9

1X2

47% 30% 23%

ES Setif Draw CS Constantine

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

ES Setif 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWWLL

CS Constantine 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDWLDLDW

Head-to-head

ES Setif 2–1–3 CS Constantine (6 last)

CS Constantine2-0ES Setif
CS Constantine1-1ES Setif
ES Setif2-1CS Constantine
ES Setif0-1CS Constantine
CS Constantine2-1ES Setif
CS Constantine1-2ES Setif

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ES Setif 1489 · CS Constantine 1480

	ES Setif	Draw	CS Constantine
Our model	47%	30%	23%
Market	47%	31%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CS Constantine: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ES Setif	CS Constantine
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X2.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:06 +8’	1.91	2.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ES Setif 2–1–3 CS Constantine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 Algeria Division 1	CS Constantine	2-0 HT 0-0	ES Setif
16/01/26 Algeria Cup	CS Constantine	1-1 HT 1-1	ES Setif
11/09/25 Algeria Division 1	ES Setif	2-1 HT 0-1	CS Constantine
15/05/25 Algeria Division 1	ES Setif	0-1 HT 0-0	CS Constantine
25/10/24 Algeria Division 1	CS Constantine	2-1 HT 2-1	ES Setif
14/06/24 Algeria Division 1	CS Constantine	1-2 HT 0-0	ES Setif

Standings · Algeria Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Constantine	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
2	USM Alger	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
3	CR Belouizdad	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	ES Ben Aknoun	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	MB Rouissat	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
6	JS Kabylie	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	MC Oran	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	Olympique Akbou	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	US Biskra	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
10	USM Khenchela	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
11	CR Temouchent	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
12	ASO Chlef	2	0	1	1	3	6	1
13	JS Saoura	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	MC Alger	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	ES Setif	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
16	JS El Biar	2	0	0	2	0	4	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ES Setif	CS Constantine
ES Ben Aknoun	0-1 L	0-0 D
Paradou AC	2-0 W	3-5 L
MC Alger	1-0 W	2-0 W
JS Kabylie	1-5 L	2-2 D
MC Oran	3-0 W	0-1 L
Olympique Akbou	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CS Constantine (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ES Setif

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
03/09	ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-1	11	1	L
05/06	Paradou AC Algeria Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/05	MC Alger Algeria Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
16/05	CR Belouizdad Algeria Division 1	3-1	3-1	1	7	W
08/05	JS Kabylie Algeria Division 1	0-2	1-5	2	1	L
17/04	MC Oran Algeria Division 1	1-0	3-0	3	9	W
11/04	Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	12	L
05/04	ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
18/03	USM Alger Algeria Division 1	0-2	0-2	5	1	L

CS Constantine

DLLDWLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	ASO Chlef Algeria Division 1	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
05/09	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 1	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
05/06	JS Saoura Algeria Division 1	1-2	1-3	3	1	L
19/05	USM Khenchela Algeria Division 1	2-2	2-2	5	1	D
07/05	Paradou AC Algeria Division 1	1-2	3-5	6	7	L
16/04	MC Alger Algeria Division 1	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
10/04	JS Kabylie Algeria Division 1	0-1	2-2	1	1	D
03/04	MC Oran Algeria Division 1	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
17/03	Olympique Akbou Algeria Division 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
13/03	ES Ben Aknoun Algeria Division 1	0-0	0-0	12	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ES Setif vs CS Constantine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ES Setif win (47%). Probabilities: ES Setif 47%, draw 30%, CS Constantine 23%.

How many goals are expected in ES Setif vs CS Constantine?

The model expects 2.31 goals (ES Setif 1.4 · CS Constantine 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in ES Setif vs CS Constantine?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.