Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 19/09, 23:30

Prediction: Genesis de Comayagua vs Olancho FC

Team pages: Genesis de Comayagua · Olancho FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Genesis de Comayagua1.29
Olancho FC1.17
1X2
38% 29% 33%
Genesis de Comayagua Draw Olancho FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Genesis de Comayagua 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDLWLWDLWL
Olancho FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWDWDLDD
Head-to-head
Genesis de Comayagua 1–4–1 Olancho FC (6 last)
  • Genesis de Comayagua1-1Olancho FC
  • Olancho FC1-3Genesis de Comayagua
  • Olancho FC2-2Genesis de Comayagua
  • Genesis de Comayagua0-0Olancho FC
  • Olancho FC2-2Genesis de Comayagua
  • Genesis de Comayagua1-3Olancho FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Genesis de Comayagua 1511 · Olancho FC 1497
Genesis de ComayaguaDrawOlancho FC
Our model38%30%32%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Genesis de ComayaguaOlancho FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 10.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.32 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.14.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Genesis de Comayagua 141 Olancho FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
Genesis de Comayagua1-1
HT 1-1
Olancho FC
07/05/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
Olancho FC1-3
HT 1-2
Genesis de Comayagua
01/05/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
Olancho FC2-2
HT 1-1
Genesis de Comayagua
11/03/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
Genesis de Comayagua0-0
HT 0-0
Olancho FC
26/10/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Olancho FC2-2
HT 1-0
Genesis de Comayagua
16/08/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
Genesis de Comayagua1-3
HT 0-1
Olancho FC

Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Marathon 7520 12317
2 Real Espana 7430 12415
3 CD Olimpia 7421 15714
4 Motagua 7412 11713
5 Genesis de Comayagua 7313 10610
6 Olancho FC 7241 6510
7 CA Independiente Siguatepeque 7232 779
8 Estrella Roja 8233 13169
9 Lobos UPNFM 8224 7128
10 Atletico Choloma 8215 687
11 CD Platense 8125 6185
12 Juticalpa 7106 5173

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGenesis de ComayaguaOlancho FC
Motagua 0-1 L 1-2 L
Juticalpa 3-0 W 1-0 W
Real Espana 0-2 L 1-1 D
Atletico Choloma 2-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Genesis de Comayagua (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genesis de Comayagua

WDLWLWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-1 72 L
07/09 Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 3-0 22 W
29/08 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-2 41 L
22/08 CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 104 D
15/08 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 3-0 84 W
09/08 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-2 14 L
01/08 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 2-0 22 W
19/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 1-2 55 L
15/05 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 1-1 34 D
07/05 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-1 3-1 14 W

Olancho FC

WLDWDWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 410 D
05/09 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 D
30/08 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-2 53 L
24/08 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 12 D
17/08 Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-0 56 W
09/08 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 54 D
03/08 Estrella Roja
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 44 W
15/05 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 1-1 74 D
13/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-2 04 L
10/05 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 2-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genesis de Comayagua vs Olancho FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Genesis de Comayagua win (38%). Probabilities: Genesis de Comayagua 38%, draw 29%, Olancho FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Genesis de Comayagua vs Olancho FC?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Genesis de Comayagua 1.29 · Olancho FC 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Genesis de Comayagua vs Olancho FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.