Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 28/10, 11:00

Prediction: Slovan Liberec B vs Zenit Caslav

Team pages: Slovan Liberec B · Zenit Caslav

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Slovan Liberec B2.05

Zenit Caslav1.43

1X2

51% 23% 26%

Slovan Liberec B Draw Zenit Caslav

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Liberec B 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Zenit Caslav 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slovan Liberec B 1–0 Zenit Caslav (1 last)

Slovan Liberec B5-0Zenit Caslav

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Liberec B 1454 · Zenit Caslav 1486

	Slovan Liberec B	Draw	Zenit Caslav
Our model	51%	23%	26%
Market	51%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Liberec B	Zenit Caslav
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.2	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.17
2	3.25 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.88 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:37 +26’	1.80	4.00	3.25
15:06 +2’	1.75▼	4.00	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:47 +18’	1.65	4.17	3.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Liberec B 1–0–0 Zenit Caslav

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/22 Czechia 4. Liga	Slovan Liberec B	5-0 HT 2-0	Zenit Caslav

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Liberec B	Zenit Caslav
FK Horni Redice	5-1 W	2-1 W
MFK Chrudim	1-3 L	2-2 D
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-4 L	0-2 L
Mladá Boleslav B	1-2 L	0-4 L
SK Sokol Zapy	1-2 L	3-2 W
Pardubice B	2-2 D	0-7 L
FK Jablonec B	0-2 L	2-3 L
FK Teplice B	0-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Zenit Caslav (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Liberec B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-1	8	0	W
18/10	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	9	2	W
10/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
04/10	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
26/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	3	0	L
20/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	8	6	L
16/09	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-2	2	3	L
11/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
06/09	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
29/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	5	3	L

Zenit Caslav

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
18/10	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	7	6	L
11/10	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-2	0	1	W
04/10	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	6	W
26/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
20/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
12/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	8	6	D
06/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
30/08	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-7	3	1	L
23/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Liberec B vs Zenit Caslav?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slovan Liberec B win (51%). Probabilities: Slovan Liberec B 51%, draw 23%, Zenit Caslav 26%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Liberec B vs Zenit Caslav?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Slovan Liberec B 2.05 · Zenit Caslav 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Liberec B vs Zenit Caslav?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.