Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 07/11, 10:30

Prediction: Velke Hamry vs FK Horni Redice

Team pages: Velke Hamry · FK Horni Redice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Velke Hamry1.75

FK Horni Redice1.65

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Velke Hamry Draw FK Horni Redice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Velke Hamry 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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FK Horni Redice 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Velke Hamry 2–0 FK Horni Redice (2 last)

Velke Hamry2-0FK Horni Redice
FK Horni Redice0-5Velke Hamry

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Velke Hamry 1452 · FK Horni Redice 1453

	Velke Hamry	Draw	FK Horni Redice
Our model	40%	25%	36%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Velke Hamry: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Velke Hamry	FK Horni Redice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.3	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:06 +7’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Velke Hamry 2–0–0 FK Horni Redice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Hamry	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Horni Redice
18/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Horni Redice	0-5 HT 0-3	Velke Hamry

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	15	10	2	3	32	20	32
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
3	SK Artis Brno B	15	8	5	2	23	10	29
4	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
5	FC Brno II	15	8	3	4	32	26	27
6	SK Hranice	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Velke Hamry	FK Horni Redice
MFK Chrudim	0-1 L	1-2 L
Benatky Nad Jizerou	3-3 D	0-2 L
FK Teplice B	2-0 W	4-1 W
Zenit Caslav	1-2 L	1-2 L
SK Sokol Brozany	4-2 W	1-3 L
Banik Most-Sous	0-3 L	1-0 W
Hradec Kralove B	0-0 D	1-0 W
Varnsdorf	1-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Horni Redice (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Velke Hamry

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
24/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-3	7	5	D
18/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-6	6	3	L
10/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
04/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
12/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
29/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	11	2	L

FK Horni Redice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
28/10	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
24/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	7	0	L
17/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
10/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
26/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	5	W
20/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
12/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
05/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Velke Hamry vs FK Horni Redice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Velke Hamry win (40%). Probabilities: Velke Hamry 40%, draw 24%, FK Horni Redice 36%.

How many goals are expected in Velke Hamry vs FK Horni Redice?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Velke Hamry 1.75 · FK Horni Redice 1.65), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Velke Hamry vs FK Horni Redice?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.