Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 07/11, 10:15

Prediction: Benesov vs Dukla Praha B

Team pages: Benesov · Dukla Praha B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Benesov1.66

Dukla Praha B1.44

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Benesov Draw Dukla Praha B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Benesov 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Dukla Praha B 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benesov 1459 · Dukla Praha B 1477

	Benesov	Draw	Dukla Praha B
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Benesov	Dukla Praha B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.4	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:04 +8’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	15	10	2	3	32	20	32
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
3	SK Artis Brno B	15	8	5	2	23	10	29
4	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
5	FC Brno II	15	8	3	4	32	26	27
6	SK Hranice	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Benesov	Dukla Praha B
Viktoria Plzen B	0-3 L	0-3 L
FK Pribram B	3-2 W	0-0 D
Bohemians 1905 B	2-1 W	2-2 D
FK Admira Praha	1-4 L	1-1 D
Ceske Budejovice	0-3 L	2-2 D
Motorlet Praha	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sparta Prague B	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Benesov (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benesov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
28/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-2	7	5	W
24/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	6	L
03/10	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	4	L
26/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
19/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
12/09	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-4	6	1	L
05/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	1	5	D
02/09	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	3	D

Dukla Praha B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-3	3	4	L
24/10	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
18/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
11/10	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
04/10	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
27/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
19/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
13/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
09/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
04/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benesov vs Dukla Praha B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Benesov win (42%). Probabilities: Benesov 42%, draw 25%, Dukla Praha B 33%.

How many goals are expected in Benesov vs Dukla Praha B?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Benesov 1.66 · Dukla Praha B 1.44), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Benesov vs Dukla Praha B?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.