Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 05/09, 12:30

Prediction: Klepp (W) vs TIL 2020 Women

Team pages: Klepp (W) · TIL 2020 Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Klepp (W)0.99

TIL 2020 Women2.99

1X2

7% 13% 80%

Klepp (W) Draw TIL 2020 Women

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

0-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Klepp (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLLL

TIL 2020 Women 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Klepp (W) 0–2–3 TIL 2020 Women (5 last)

TIL 2020 Women5-0Klepp (W)
TIL 2020 Women1-1Klepp (W)
Klepp (W)0-1TIL 2020 Women
Klepp (W)0-1TIL 2020 Women
TIL 2020 Women1-1Klepp (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Klepp (W) 1414 · TIL 2020 Women 1517

	Klepp (W)	Draw	TIL 2020 Women
Our model	9%	14%	77%
Market	6%	12%	82%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TIL 2020 Women (rating 1414 vs 1517).
H2H favours TIL 2020 Women: 3-2-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Klepp (W)	TIL 2020 Women
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 3.8	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 2.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/10/90%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	3.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

115.00

X7.50

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.93

2 (-2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +3’	15.00	7.50	1.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Klepp (W) 0–2–3 TIL 2020 Women

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	5-0 HT 3-0	Klepp (W)
02/07/23 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	1-1	Klepp (W)
23/04/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Klepp (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	TIL 2020 Women
14/08/22 Norway Division 1 Women	Klepp (W)	0-1	TIL 2020 Women
03/04/22 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	1-1 HT 1-1	Klepp (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	16	13	2	1	41	18	41
2	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	16	11	2	3	45	13	35
3	Asane (W)	15	10	4	1	25	10	34
4	Viking FK (W)	16	10	3	3	44	18	33
5	TIL 2020 Women	15	8	2	5	31	13	26
6	Odd BK (W)	16	5	5	6	20	25	20
7	Grei (W)	15	5	1	9	30	30	16
8	Fyllingsdalen (W)	16	5	0	11	23	39	15
9	Kolbotn Women	15	4	2	9	22	32	14
10	Bryne (W)	15	4	2	9	12	26	14
11	Frigg (W)	16	3	1	12	11	40	10
12	Klepp (W)	15	3	0	12	18	58	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Klepp (W)	TIL 2020 Women
Grei (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
Fyllingsdalen (W)	5-4 W	2-1 W
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	0-6 L	3-1 W
Bryne (W)	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: TIL 2020 Women (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Klepp (W)

LWLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	0-4	4	1	L
23/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
09/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-3	5-4	2	3	W
02/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-5	0-6	–	–	L
20/06	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
14/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-4	1-9	3	5	L
31/05	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
23/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-1	2	0	W
09/05	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	2-3	6	1	L

TIL 2020 Women

WDWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
23/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/06	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/06	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
31/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/05	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	7-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Klepp (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TIL 2020 Women win (80%). Probabilities: Klepp (W) 7%, draw 13%, TIL 2020 Women 80%.

How many goals are expected in Klepp (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Klepp (W) 0.99 · TIL 2020 Women 2.99), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Klepp (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.