Football · Malawi Super League · 05/09, 14:30

Prediction: Red Lions vs Masters FC

Team pages: Red Lions · Masters FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Red Lions1.26
Masters FC0.83
1X2
46% 31% 24%
Red Lions Draw Masters FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Red Lions 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLWLLDWL
Masters FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLLWDDWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Red Lions 1485 · Masters FC 1483
Red LionsDrawMasters FC
Our model45%32%23%
Market46%30%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Red LionsMasters FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.11.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.71.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 02.1 / 0

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mighty Wanderers 15861 271030
2 Silver Strikers 14851 23529
3 Blue Eagles 14914 221528
4 Big Bullets 14761 15727
5 Masters FC 14635 171621
6 Chitipa United 14626 111620
7 Red Lions 14545 121319
8 Moyale Barracks 15474 151719
9 Mitundu Baptist FC 14545 121319
10 Civil Service Utd 14527 91417
11 Ekhaya FC 14455 151417
12 Dedza Dynamos 14356 91914
13 MAFCO 14347 111513
14 Karonga United 14347 142313
15 Kamuzu Barracks 14338 152112
16 Creck SC 14239 11209

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRed LionsMasters FC
Mighty Wanderers 1-2 L 1-1 D
Moyale Barracks 1-0 W 2-2 D
Kamuzu Barracks 0-0 D 1-0 W
Blue Eagles 2-3 L 1-2 L
MAFCO 0-2 L 1-1 D
Civil Service Utd 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Masters FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Red Lions

WLWLWLLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-2 35 L
15/08 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 72 W
09/08 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 43 D
25/07 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-3 47 L
18/07 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 L
05/07 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 42 W
28/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-3 41 L
21/06 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 25 W
31/05 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 20 L
23/05 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 33 W

Masters FC

WLLLWDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-2 62 L
15/08 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 41 D
09/08 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 46 W
26/07 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-1 01 D
18/07 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-1 2-2 15 D
05/07 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 70 W
29/06 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 L
21/06 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
0-2 1-3 71 L
30/05 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 32 L
24/05 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
2-0 4-0 11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Red Lions vs Masters FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Lions win (46%). Probabilities: Red Lions 46%, draw 31%, Masters FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Red Lions vs Masters FC?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Red Lions 1.26 · Masters FC 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Red Lions vs Masters FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.