Football · Malawi Super League · 05/09, 14:30
Prediction: Kamuzu Barracks vs Civil Service Utd
Team pages: Kamuzu Barracks · Civil Service Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Kamuzu Barracks1.16
Civil Service Utd0.91
1X2
Kamuzu Barracks
Draw
Civil Service Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Kamuzu Barracks
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Civil Service Utd
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kamuzu Barracks
1–2–3
Civil Service Utd
(6 last)
- Civil Service Utd1-0Kamuzu Barracks
- Kamuzu Barracks1-1Civil Service Utd
- Civil Service Utd2-1Kamuzu Barracks
- Kamuzu Barracks0-0Civil Service Utd
- Civil Service Utd1-2Kamuzu Barracks
- Kamuzu Barracks0-1Civil Service Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kamuzu Barracks 1450 · Civil Service Utd 1475
| Kamuzu Barracks | Draw | Civil Service Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Civil Service Utd: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kamuzu Barracks | Civil Service Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamuzu Barracks 1–2–3 Civil Service Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kamuzu Barracks |
| 02/07/25 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Civil Service Utd |
| 01/12/24 Malawi Challenge Cup | Civil Service Utd | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Kamuzu Barracks |
| 10/11/24 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Civil Service Utd |
| 28/04/24 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Kamuzu Barracks |
| 19/08/23 Malawi Super League | Kamuzu Barracks | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Civil Service Utd |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mighty Wanderers | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Silver Strikers | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 28 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | Ekhaya FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Dedza Dynamos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 15 | Karonga United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kamuzu Barracks | Civil Service Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Mighty Wanderers | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Red Lions | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| MAFCO | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Blue Eagles | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Masters FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kamuzu Barracks (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kamuzu Barracks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
Civil Service Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kamuzu Barracks vs Civil Service Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kamuzu Barracks win (40%). Probabilities: Kamuzu Barracks 40%, draw 32%, Civil Service Utd 28%.
How many goals are expected in Kamuzu Barracks vs Civil Service Utd?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Kamuzu Barracks 1.16 · Civil Service Utd 0.91), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Kamuzu Barracks vs Civil Service Utd?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.