Football · Dominica Premier League · 06/09, 00:30

Prediction: Pointe Michel FC vs Portsmouth Bombers

Team pages: Pointe Michel FC · Portsmouth Bombers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.45Total

Pointe Michel FC1.99

Portsmouth Bombers2.46

1X2

31% 22% 48%

Pointe Michel FC Draw Portsmouth Bombers

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

1-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Pointe Michel FC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Portsmouth Bombers 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Pointe Michel FC 1–1–3 Portsmouth Bombers (5 last)

Portsmouth Bombers6-2Pointe Michel FC
Pointe Michel FC0-3Portsmouth Bombers
Pointe Michel FC3-6Portsmouth Bombers
Pointe Michel FC5-2Portsmouth Bombers
Portsmouth Bombers1-1Pointe Michel FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pointe Michel FC 1441 · Portsmouth Bombers 1537

	Pointe Michel FC	Draw	Portsmouth Bombers
Our model	31%	20%	48%
Market	30%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 4.45 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portsmouth Bombers (rating 1441 vs 1537).
H2H favours Portsmouth Bombers: 3-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pointe Michel FC	Portsmouth Bombers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 4.1	2.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 2.1	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.7	3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.00

X4.00

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 1.75 · xG: 6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.75 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
2	1.95 → 1.91▼	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:21 +3’	3.00	3.75	1.95
23:42 +5’	3.00	4.00▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pointe Michel FC 1–1–3 Portsmouth Bombers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Dominica Premier League	Portsmouth Bombers	6-2 HT 3-0	Pointe Michel FC
14/04/25 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Portsmouth Bombers
14/07/24 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	3-6 HT 1-3	Portsmouth Bombers
25/06/23 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	5-2 HT 2-0	Portsmouth Bombers
04/07/21 Dominica Premier League	Portsmouth Bombers	1-1 HT 0-0	Pointe Michel FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pointe Michel FC	Portsmouth Bombers
Mahaut Soca Strikers	1-4 L	0-0 D
Promex Harlem United SC	7-1 W	4-1 W
We United FC	2-3 L	3-1 W
Bath Estate	4-5 L	2-5 L
Dublanc FC	3-12 L	2-1 W
Sagicor South East FC	2-5 L	1-6 L
Mighty Avengers	3-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pointe Michel FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pointe Michel FC

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	1-1	1-4	4	5	L
23/08	Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League	6-0	7-1	6	2	W
19/08	We United FC Dominica Premier League	1-2	2-3	1	4	L
08/08	Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
11/07	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	1-2	4-5	5	5	L
04/07	Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League	0-7	3-12	4	2	L
20/06	Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League	1-3	2-5	2	5	L
13/06	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	2-1	2-3	11	4	L
06/06	Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
03/06	Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League	3-1	4-3	5	2	W

Portsmouth Bombers

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League	0-1	4-1	8	5	W
27/08	We United FC Dominica Premier League	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
24/08	Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
06/08	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	1-1	2-5	9	2	L
24/07	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
06/07	Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League	0-3	1-6	6	7	L
13/06	Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
07/06	Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League	0-1	2-4	9	3	L
31/05	Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League	3-0	6-2	4	1	W
23/05	We United FC Dominica Premier League	1-2	3-2	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pointe Michel FC vs Portsmouth Bombers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Portsmouth Bombers win (48%). Probabilities: Pointe Michel FC 31%, draw 22%, Portsmouth Bombers 48%.

How many goals are expected in Pointe Michel FC vs Portsmouth Bombers?

The model expects 4.45 goals (Pointe Michel FC 1.99 · Portsmouth Bombers 2.46), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pointe Michel FC vs Portsmouth Bombers?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.