Football · Dominica Premier League · 05/09, 01:00

Prediction: Sagicor South East FC vs Bath Estate

Team pages: Sagicor South East FC · Bath Estate

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.49Total
Sagicor South East FC3.22
Bath Estate1.28
1X2
75% 14% 11%
Sagicor South East FC Draw Bath Estate
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Sagicor South East FC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
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Bath Estate 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Sagicor South East FC 1–2–0 Bath Estate (3 last)
  • Bath Estate0-3Sagicor South East FC
  • Sagicor South East FC4-4Bath Estate
  • Sagicor South East FC1-1Bath Estate
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sagicor South East FC 1585 · Bath Estate 1441
Sagicor South East FCDrawBath Estate
Our model75%14%11%
Market75%14%11%
Estimated total (ours) 4.49 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagicor South East FC (rating 1585 vs 1441).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sagicor South East FCBath Estate
Goals for / against (FT)3.6 / 1.32.1 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.80.8 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.92.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.22.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagicor South East FC 120 Bath Estate

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/06/26
Dominica Premier League
Bath Estate0-3
HT 0-0
Sagicor South East FC
02/05/21
Dominica Premier League
Sagicor South East FC4-4
HT 3-1
Bath Estate
15/08/20
Dominica Premier League
Sagicor South East FC1-1
HT 0-0
Bath Estate

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSagicor South East FCBath Estate
Promex Harlem United SC 2-0 W 1-4 L
Dublanc FC 2-1 W 0-8 L
Mahaut Soca Strikers 2-3 L 0-3 L
Mighty Avengers 2-3 L 2-0 W
We United FC 4-0 W 1-2 L
Portsmouth Bombers 6-1 W 5-2 W
Pointe Michel FC 5-2 W 5-4 W
Middleham United FC 4-1 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sagicor South East FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sagicor South East FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 2-0 72 W
19/08 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
1-0 2-1 71 W
09/08 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
1-1 2-3 82 L
25/07 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
1-3 2-3 121 L
10/07 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-0 4-0 15 W
06/07 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
3-0 6-1 97 W
20/06 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
3-1 5-2 95 W
14/06 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
2-2 6-2 23 W
07/06 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
1-1 4-1 71 W
01/06 Bath Estate
Dominica Premier League
0-0 3-0 72 W

Bath Estate

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Dublanc FC
Dominica Premier League
0-3 0-8 20 L
21/08 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
0-1 0-3 43 L
10/08 Promex Harlem United SC
Dominica Premier League
1-4 1-4 30 L
06/08 Portsmouth Bombers
Dominica Premier League
1-1 5-2 42 W
23/07 Middleham United FC
Dominica Premier League
0-0 1-3 23 L
11/07 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
2-1 5-4 15 W
04/07 We United FC
Dominica Premier League
0-1 1-2 24 L
18/06 Mighty Avengers
Dominica Premier League
1-0 2-0 74 W
13/06 Pointe Michel FC
Dominica Premier League
1-2 3-2 54 W
06/06 Mahaut Soca Strikers
Dominica Premier League
2-4 3-5 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sagicor South East FC vs Bath Estate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagicor South East FC win (75%). Probabilities: Sagicor South East FC 75%, draw 14%, Bath Estate 11%.

How many goals are expected in Sagicor South East FC vs Bath Estate?

The model expects 4.49 goals (Sagicor South East FC 3.22 · Bath Estate 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sagicor South East FC vs Bath Estate?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.