Football · Dominica Premier League · 05/09, 22:30
Prediction: Promex Harlem United SC vs Middleham United FC
Team pages: Promex Harlem United SC · Middleham United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Promex Harlem United SC2.01
Middleham United FC1.57
1X2
Promex Harlem United SC
Draw
Middleham United FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Promex Harlem United SC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Middleham United FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Promex Harlem United SC
2–2–2
Middleham United FC
(6 last)
- Middleham United FC2-1Promex Harlem United SC
- Middleham United FC0-1Promex Harlem United SC
- Promex Harlem United SC0-2Middleham United FC
- Middleham United FC3-3Promex Harlem United SC
- Middleham United FC1-1Promex Harlem United SC
- Promex Harlem United SC3-1Middleham United FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Promex Harlem United SC 1428 · Middleham United FC 1514
| Promex Harlem United SC | Draw | Middleham United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 23% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Middleham United FC (rating 1428 vs 1514).
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Promex Harlem United SC | Middleham United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.7 | 2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Promex Harlem United SC 2–2–2 Middleham United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Dominica Premier League | Middleham United FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 27/08/25 Dominica Premier League | Middleham United FC | 0-1 HT 0-2 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 13/04/25 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Middleham United FC |
| 01/11/24 Dominica Premier League | Middleham United FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 17/06/23 Dominica Premier League | Middleham United FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Promex Harlem United SC |
| 25/04/21 Dominica Premier League | Promex Harlem United SC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Middleham United FC |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Promex Harlem United SC | Middleham United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Sagicor South East FC | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Pointe Michel FC | 1-7 L | 4-1 W |
| Dublanc FC | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Bath Estate | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Mahaut Soca Strikers | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Mighty Avengers | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Promex Harlem United SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
0-6 | 1-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/08 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 12/07 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 15/06 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Middleham United FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | Blue Waters FC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 23/07 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/06 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Promex Harlem United SC vs Middleham United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Promex Harlem United SC win (47%). Probabilities: Promex Harlem United SC 47%, draw 24%, Middleham United FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Promex Harlem United SC vs Middleham United FC?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Promex Harlem United SC 2.01 · Middleham United FC 1.57), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Promex Harlem United SC vs Middleham United FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.