Football · Israel Premier League · 14/09, 19:30
Prediction: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Team pages: Maccabi Tel Aviv · Hapoel Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.73
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.01
1X2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3–2–1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Hapoel Tel Aviv1-1Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv1-0Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv1-2Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv1-1Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv4-2Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv0-5Maccabi Tel Aviv
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Tel Aviv (rating 1580 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Maccabi Tel Aviv: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 1.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–2–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 19/04/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 26/01/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 14/01/26 Israel Cup | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 17/01/24 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 26/09/23 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Maccabi Netanya | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | Beitar Jerusalem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Ironi Tiberias | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Maccabi Haifa | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Tel Aviv win (53%). Probabilities: Maccabi Tel Aviv 53%, draw 26%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 21%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.73 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.