Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)1.18
Gil Vicente FC (W)2.2
1X2
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
Draw
Gil Vicente FC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Gil Vicente FC (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
0–2
Gil Vicente FC (W)
(2 last)
- JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)1-2Gil Vicente FC (W)
- Gil Vicente FC (W)3-2JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 1390 · Gil Vicente FC (W) 1482
| JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | Draw | Gil Vicente FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 19% | 21% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gil Vicente FC (W) (rating 1390 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Gil Vicente FC (W): 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | Gil Vicente FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 3 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 2 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 0–0–2 Gil Vicente FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gil Vicente FC (W) |
| 07/02/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | Gil Vicente FC (W) | 3-2 HT 2-2 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · II Divisao, Women 26/27, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clube de Albergaria (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Famalicao (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gil Vicente FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Braga B (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Rio Tinto (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | Gil Vicente FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica B (W) | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| CF Benfica (W) | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Clube de Albergaria (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Ouriense (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Porto (W) | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Famalicao (W) | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gil Vicente FC (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/02 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/02 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/02 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
Gil Vicente FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/02 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 14/02 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/02 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gil Vicente FC (W) win (60%). Probabilities: JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 19%, draw 22%, Gil Vicente FC (W) 60%.
How many goals are expected in JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)?
The model expects 3.38 goals (JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) 1.18 · Gil Vicente FC (W) 2.2), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) vs Gil Vicente FC (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.