Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: CF Benfica (W) vs CA Ouriense (W)
Team pages: CF Benfica (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
CF Benfica (W)1.37
CA Ouriense (W)1.41
1X2
CF Benfica (W)
Draw
CA Ouriense (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CF Benfica (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
CA Ouriense (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CF Benfica (W)
5–1
CA Ouriense (W)
(6 last)
- CF Benfica (W)1-0CA Ouriense (W)
- CA Ouriense (W)2-1CF Benfica (W)
- CF Benfica (W)2-1CA Ouriense (W)
- CF Benfica (W)4-0CA Ouriense (W)
- CF Benfica (W)2-0CA Ouriense (W)
- CA Ouriense (W)0-1CF Benfica (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CF Benfica (W) 1451 · CA Ouriense (W) 1467
| CF Benfica (W) | Draw | CA Ouriense (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CF Benfica (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Benfica (W) | CA Ouriense (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.2 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/11/67% | 22/22/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Benfica (W) 5–0–1 CA Ouriense (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | CF Benfica (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Ouriense (W) |
| 21/02/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | CA Ouriense (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CF Benfica (W) |
| 11/10/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | CF Benfica (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CA Ouriense (W) |
| 08/12/24 Portugal Cup Women | CF Benfica (W) | 4-0 HT 4-0 | CA Ouriense (W) |
| 02/11/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women | CF Benfica (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Ouriense (W) |
| 26/06/22 Portugal Campeonato Nacional Women | CA Ouriense (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CF Benfica (W) |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · II Divisao, Women 26/27, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real SC (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Benfica B (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | CA Ouriense (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | EFF Setubal (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | CF Benfica (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | Sporting (W) B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CF Benfica (W) | CA Ouriense (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica B (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Porto (W) | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Gil Vicente FC (W) | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Famalicao (W) | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Clube de Albergaria (W) | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Ouriense (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Benfica (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/03 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/02 | CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
CA Ouriense (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | EFF Setubal (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
– | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 03/04 | Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/02 | CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/02 | FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Benfica (W) vs CA Ouriense (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Ouriense (W) win (38%). Probabilities: CF Benfica (W) 36%, draw 26%, CA Ouriense (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in CF Benfica (W) vs CA Ouriense (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (CF Benfica (W) 1.37 · CA Ouriense (W) 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Benfica (W) vs CA Ouriense (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.