Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · 19/09, 21:00

Prediction: Benfica B (W) vs CF Benfica (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Benfica B (W)1.83

CF Benfica (W)1.01

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Benfica B (W) Draw CF Benfica (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Benfica B (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDLWWW

CF Benfica (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Benfica B (W) 3–1–2 CF Benfica (W) (6 last)

Benfica B (W)1-0CF Benfica (W)
CF Benfica (W)2-1Benfica B (W)
Benfica B (W)1-0CF Benfica (W)
CF Benfica (W)2-2Benfica B (W)
Benfica B (W)3-0CF Benfica (W)
Benfica B (W)0-1CF Benfica (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benfica B (W) 1575 · CF Benfica (W) 1454

	Benfica B (W)	Draw	CF Benfica (W)
Our model	56%	25%	19%
Market	57%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benfica B (W) (rating 1575 vs 1454).
H2H favours Benfica B (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Benfica B (W)	CF Benfica (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:20 +4’	1.57	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Benfica B (W) 3–1–2 CF Benfica (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Benfica B (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	CF Benfica (W)
20/12/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	CF Benfica (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Benfica B (W)
08/11/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Benfica B (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	CF Benfica (W)
15/03/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	CF Benfica (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Benfica B (W)
04/01/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Benfica B (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	CF Benfica (W)
12/10/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	Benfica B (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	CF Benfica (W)

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women · II Divisao, Women 26/27, Group South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA Ouriense (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CF Benfica (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	EFF Setubal (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real SC (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Benfica B (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting (W) B	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Benfica B (W)	CF Benfica (W)
JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W)	4-0 W	4-2 W
Gil Vicente FC (W)	3-1 W	1-3 L
Clube de Albergaria (W)	3-1 W	1-3 L
CA Ouriense (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
FC Porto (W)	1-1 D	0-4 L
Famalicao (W)	3-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Benfica B (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benfica B (W)

DDWWWDLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	3-0	4-0	9	0	W
02/05	Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	3-1	1	2	W
26/04	Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-1	3-1	0	0	W
03/04	CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	0-1	7	0	L
28/03	FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
21/03	Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-1	3-2	8	3	W
14/03	CF Benfica (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
22/02	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/02	FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
14/02	Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	1-1	8	6	D

CF Benfica (W)

WLLLLLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
02/05	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-2	4-2	5	6	W
25/04	FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-1	0-4	0	1	L
03/04	Gil Vicente FC (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	–	1-3	–	–	L
28/03	Famalicao (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
21/03	Clube de Albergaria (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
14/03	Benfica B (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
08/03	FC Porto (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
21/02	CA Ouriense (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
14/02	JuveForce Ponte de Vagos (W) Portugal Campeonato Nacional II Women	1-0	3-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benfica B (W) vs CF Benfica (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Benfica B (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Benfica B (W) 56%, draw 24%, CF Benfica (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Benfica B (W) vs CF Benfica (W)?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Benfica B (W) 1.83 · CF Benfica (W) 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Benfica B (W) vs CF Benfica (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.