Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women · 12/09, 06:00
Prediction: Maitland FC (W) vs New Lambton FC (W)
Team pages: Maitland FC (W) · New Lambton FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.41Total
Maitland FC (W)2.95
New Lambton FC (W)1.46
1X2
Maitland FC (W)
Draw
New Lambton FC (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Maitland FC (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
New Lambton FC (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maitland FC (W)
5–1
New Lambton FC (W)
(6 last)
- Maitland FC (W)5-1New Lambton FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)2-1Maitland FC (W)
- Maitland FC (W)8-0New Lambton FC (W)
- Maitland FC (W)7-1New Lambton FC (W)
- Maitland FC (W)3-1New Lambton FC (W)
- New Lambton FC (W)1-2Maitland FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maitland FC (W) 1632 · New Lambton FC (W) 1580
| Maitland FC (W) | Draw | New Lambton FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.41 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland FC (W) (rating 1632 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Maitland FC (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maitland FC (W) | New Lambton FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.9 / 0.7 | 4.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.9 | 3.5 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland FC (W) 5–0–1 New Lambton FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 5-1 HT 3-1 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 27/06/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Maitland FC (W) |
| 26/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 8-0 HT 2-0 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 01/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 7-1 HT 3-0 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 28/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | Maitland FC (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | New Lambton FC (W) |
| 26/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women | New Lambton FC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Maitland FC (W) |
Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maitland FC (W) | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 11 | 49 |
| 2 | New Lambton FC (W) | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 70 | 29 | 46 |
| 3 | Lake Macquarie (W) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 25 |
| 4 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 41 | 19 |
| 5 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 18 |
| 6 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 54 | 13 |
| 7 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 72 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maitland FC (W) | New Lambton FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Adamstown Rosebud (W) | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Broadmeadow Magic (W) | 1-0 W | 6-3 W |
| Newcastle Olympic FC (W) | 5-0 W | 10-0 W |
| Lake Macquarie (W) | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Charlestown Azzurri (W) | 6-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: New Lambton FC (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maitland FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | New Lambton FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-0 | 6-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
New Lambton FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-2 | 6-3 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 10-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/08 | Adamstown Rosebud (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Lake Macquarie (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Maitland FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Charlestown Azzurri (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 10/06 | Broadmeadow Magic (W) Australia Northern NSW Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maitland FC (W) vs New Lambton FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maitland FC (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Maitland FC (W) 67%, draw 17%, New Lambton FC (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Maitland FC (W) vs New Lambton FC (W)?
The model expects 4.41 goals (Maitland FC (W) 2.95 · New Lambton FC (W) 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Maitland FC (W) vs New Lambton FC (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.