Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00

Prediction: CA San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz

Team pages: CA San Miguel · Godoy Cruz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

CA San Miguel0.82

Godoy Cruz1.12

1X2

26% 33% 41%

CA San Miguel Draw Godoy Cruz

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CA San Miguel 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLLWLL

Godoy Cruz 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWLWL

Head-to-head

CA San Miguel 0–1–0 Godoy Cruz (1 last)

Godoy Cruz0-0CA San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA San Miguel 1460 · Godoy Cruz 1519

	CA San Miguel	Draw	Godoy Cruz
Our model	25%	34%	41%
Market	26%	32%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Godoy Cruz (rating 1460 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA San Miguel	Godoy Cruz
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.50

X2.90

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:17 +10’	3.50	2.90	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Miguel 0–1–0 Godoy Cruz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Godoy Cruz	0-0 HT 0-0	CA San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	26	16	4	6	32	23	52
2	Deportivo Moron	26	13	7	6	41	24	46
3	Colon	26	12	9	5	34	20	45
4	Deportivo Madryn	26	11	10	5	38	24	43
5	Almirante Brown	26	11	8	7	22	16	41
6	Godoy Cruz	26	11	7	8	29	24	40
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	27	9	11	7	23	23	38
8	CA Estudiantes Caseros	26	9	8	9	23	22	35
9	Los Andes	25	8	9	8	20	15	33
10	Racing de Cordoba	26	8	8	10	24	29	32
11	Club Atletico Mitre	26	6	11	9	25	33	29
12	CA San Miguel	26	6	11	9	20	28	29
13	CA Chaco For Ever	26	7	7	12	25	29	28
14	Central Norte	26	6	10	10	17	25	28
15	CA San Telmo	26	6	9	11	22	30	27
16	All Boys	26	5	12	9	15	24	27
17	Defensores de Belgrano	26	5	11	10	16	24	26
18	Acassuso	26	5	7	14	19	32	22

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA San Miguel	Godoy Cruz
CA Chaco For Ever	0-3 L	2-1 W
Acassuso	0-0 D	1-0 W
Ferro Carril Oeste	0-1 L	3-1 W
Central Norte	1-1 D	2-1 W
Deportivo Madryn	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Godoy Cruz (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA San Miguel

DWDLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-3	5	3	L
22/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
02/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
26/07	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
11/07	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
05/07	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	7	9	W
14/06	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	5	5	D

Godoy Cruz

LLLWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
21/08	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
15/08	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
09/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
01/08	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
26/07	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	2	6	W
12/07	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
04/07	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
21/06	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	1	8	L
14/06	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Godoy Cruz win (41%). Probabilities: CA San Miguel 26%, draw 33%, Godoy Cruz 41%.

How many goals are expected in CA San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz?

The model expects 1.94 goals (CA San Miguel 0.82 · Godoy Cruz 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA San Miguel vs Godoy Cruz?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.