Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/09, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Madryn vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Team pages: Deportivo Madryn · Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Deportivo Madryn1.63

Club Ciudad de Bolivar0.79

1X2

56% 28% 16%

Deportivo Madryn Draw Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Madryn 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDWWL

Club Ciudad de Bolivar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLLLDW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Madryn 1–2 Club Ciudad de Bolivar (3 last)

Club Ciudad de Bolivar1-0Deportivo Madryn
Club Ciudad de Bolivar1-0Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Madryn1-0Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Madryn 1534 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1478

	Deportivo Madryn	Draw	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Our model	56%	27%	17%
Market	56%	28%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Madryn (rating 1534 vs 1478).
H2H favours Club Ciudad de Bolivar: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Madryn	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.1	2.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 1	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.25

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:29 +3’	1.65	3.25	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Madryn 1–0–2 Club Ciudad de Bolivar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Madryn
29/09/21 Argentina Torneo A	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Madryn
03/07/21 Argentina Torneo A	Deportivo Madryn	1-0 HT 0-0	Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	26	16	4	6	32	23	52
2	Deportivo Moron	26	13	7	6	41	24	46
3	Colon	26	12	9	5	34	20	45
4	Deportivo Madryn	26	11	10	5	38	24	43
5	Almirante Brown	26	11	8	7	22	16	41
6	Godoy Cruz	26	11	7	8	29	24	40
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	27	9	11	7	23	23	38
8	CA Estudiantes Caseros	26	9	8	9	23	22	35
9	Los Andes	25	8	9	8	20	15	33
10	Racing de Cordoba	26	8	8	10	24	29	32
11	Club Atletico Mitre	26	6	11	9	25	33	29
12	CA San Miguel	26	6	11	9	20	28	29
13	CA Chaco For Ever	26	7	7	12	25	29	28
14	Central Norte	26	6	10	10	17	25	28
15	CA San Telmo	26	6	9	11	22	30	27
16	All Boys	26	5	12	9	15	24	27
17	Defensores de Belgrano	26	5	11	10	16	24	26
18	Acassuso	26	5	7	14	19	32	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Madryn	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Almirante Brown	0-1 L	0-2 L
Godoy Cruz	2-0 W	3-1 W
Club Atletico Mitre	4-0 W	0-2 L
CA Estudiantes Caseros	1-0 W	2-1 W
All Boys	2-0 W	0-0 D
Los Andes	0-0 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Madryn (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Madryn

WLDDWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
26/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
22/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
16/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	5	7	D
08/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
02/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
26/07	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
11/07	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-2	0	2	D
05/07	Colon Argentina Nacional B	–	1-2	–	–	L
21/06	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	3	13	W

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

LWLDWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	10	L
08/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	6	L
25/07	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	1	7	W
18/07	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
11/07	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
04/07	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	2-1	3-1	4	7	W
20/06	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Madryn vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Madryn win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo Madryn 56%, draw 28%, Club Ciudad de Bolivar 16%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Madryn vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Deportivo Madryn 1.63 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 0.79), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Madryn vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.