Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 05/09, 11:00
Prediction: Pine Hills vs Grange Thistle
Team pages: Pine Hills · Grange Thistle
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Pine Hills1.43
Grange Thistle1.88
1X2
Pine Hills
Draw
Grange Thistle
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Pine Hills
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Grange Thistle
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pine Hills
1–1–4
Grange Thistle
(6 last)
- Pine Hills1-2Grange Thistle
- Grange Thistle3-3Pine Hills
- Grange Thistle0-4Pine Hills
- Pine Hills1-2Grange Thistle
- Pine Hills2-3Grange Thistle
- Grange Thistle3-2Pine Hills
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pine Hills 1545 · Grange Thistle 1555
| Pine Hills | Draw | Grange Thistle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 24% | 47% |
| Market | 30% | 22% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Grange Thistle: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pine Hills | Grange Thistle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.3 | 2.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pine Hills 1–1–4 Grange Thistle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Pine Hills | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Grange Thistle |
| 03/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Grange Thistle | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Pine Hills |
| 03/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Grange Thistle | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Pine Hills |
| 04/05/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Pine Hills | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Grange Thistle |
| 15/06/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Pine Hills | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Grange Thistle |
| 16/03/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Grange Thistle | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Pine Hills |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWQ Thunder | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Grange Thistle | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 38 | 35 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 35 |
| 5 | Souths United | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 31 |
| 6 | Brisbane Knights | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 49 | 31 |
| 7 | Taringa Rovers | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 43 | 31 |
| 8 | Mitchelton FC | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 30 |
| 9 | Caloundra | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 52 | 29 |
| 10 | Virginia United | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 29 |
| 11 | Southside Eagles | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 48 | 25 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 63 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pine Hills | Grange Thistle |
|---|---|---|
| SWQ Thunder | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Virginia United | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Brisbane Knights | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Taringa Rovers | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Samford Rangers | 5-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Caloundra | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pine Hills
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Grange Thistle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pine Hills vs Grange Thistle?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Grange Thistle win (48%). Probabilities: Pine Hills 29%, draw 23%, Grange Thistle 48%.
How many goals are expected in Pine Hills vs Grange Thistle?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Pine Hills 1.43 · Grange Thistle 1.88), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pine Hills vs Grange Thistle?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.