Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 30/08, 06:30
Prediction: SWQ Thunder vs Pine Hills
Team pages: SWQ Thunder · Pine Hills
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
SWQ Thunder2.03
Pine Hills1.38
1X2
SWQ Thunder
Draw
Pine Hills
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SWQ Thunder
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Pine Hills
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SWQ Thunder
0–2
Pine Hills
(2 last)
- Pine Hills3-1SWQ Thunder
- SWQ Thunder1-2Pine Hills
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SWQ Thunder 1548 · Pine Hills 1562
| SWQ Thunder | Draw | Pine Hills | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Pine Hills: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SWQ Thunder | Pine Hills | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 1.5 | 4.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SWQ Thunder 0–0–2 Pine Hills
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Pine Hills | 3-1 HT 2-0 | SWQ Thunder |
| 26/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | SWQ Thunder | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Pine Hills |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWQ Thunder | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Grange Thistle | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior B | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 38 | 35 |
| 4 | Pine Hills | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 35 |
| 5 | Souths United | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 31 |
| 6 | Brisbane Knights | 22 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 49 | 31 |
| 7 | Taringa Rovers | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 43 | 31 |
| 8 | Mitchelton FC | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 43 | 30 |
| 9 | Caloundra | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 52 | 29 |
| 10 | Virginia United | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 29 |
| 11 | Southside Eagles | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 48 | 25 |
| 12 | Samford Rangers | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 63 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SWQ Thunder | Pine Hills |
|---|---|---|
| Souths United | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Southside Eagles | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Samford Rangers | 5-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Caloundra | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Brisbane Knights | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Grange Thistle | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Virginia United | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Taringa Rovers | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: SWQ Thunder (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SWQ Thunder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
4-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/06 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/06 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Pine Hills
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Brisbane Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Caloundra Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SWQ Thunder vs Pine Hills?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SWQ Thunder win (52%). Probabilities: SWQ Thunder 52%, draw 23%, Pine Hills 25%.
How many goals are expected in SWQ Thunder vs Pine Hills?
The model expects 3.41 goals (SWQ Thunder 2.03 · Pine Hills 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SWQ Thunder vs Pine Hills?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.