Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 15/11, 13:30
Prediction: Rudar Kakanj vs GOSK Gabela
Team pages: Rudar Kakanj · GOSK Gabela
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Rudar Kakanj0.99
GOSK Gabela1.37
1X2
Rudar Kakanj
Draw
GOSK Gabela
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rudar Kakanj
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
GOSK Gabela
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rudar Kakanj
2–1–3
GOSK Gabela
(6 last)
- Rudar Kakanj2-1GOSK Gabela
- GOSK Gabela4-0Rudar Kakanj
- GOSK Gabela3-2Rudar Kakanj
- Rudar Kakanj1-1GOSK Gabela
- GOSK Gabela3-0Rudar Kakanj
- Rudar Kakanj1-0GOSK Gabela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rudar Kakanj 1456 · GOSK Gabela 1499
| Rudar Kakanj | Draw | GOSK Gabela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GOSK Gabela (rating 1456 vs 1499).
- H2H favours GOSK Gabela: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rudar Kakanj | GOSK Gabela | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 63/38/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.6 / 2 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rudar Kakanj 2–1–3 GOSK Gabela
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Rudar Kakanj | 2-1 | GOSK Gabela |
| 20/11/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | GOSK Gabela | 4-0 | Rudar Kakanj |
| 06/03/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | GOSK Gabela | 3-2 | Rudar Kakanj |
| 14/08/21 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Rudar Kakanj | 1-1 | GOSK Gabela |
| 05/06/21 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | GOSK Gabela | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Rudar Kakanj |
| 14/11/20 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Rudar Kakanj | 1-0 HT 1-0 | GOSK Gabela |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 39 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 11 | 37 |
| 3 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | FK Majevica Lopare | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 19 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Omarska | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 16 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 12 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rudar Kakanj | GOSK Gabela |
|---|---|---|
| FK Radnik Hadzici | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| NK Zvijezda Gradacac | 0-6 L | 1-0 W |
| HSK Posusje | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| HNK Capljina | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| FK Igman Konjic | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Bratstvo Gracanica | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: GOSK Gabela (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rudar Kakanj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 31/10 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 10/10 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
GOSK Gabela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 11/10 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 27/09 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rudar Kakanj vs GOSK Gabela?
According to our model, the most likely result is an GOSK Gabela win (45%). Probabilities: Rudar Kakanj 27%, draw 28%, GOSK Gabela 45%.
How many goals are expected in Rudar Kakanj vs GOSK Gabela?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Rudar Kakanj 0.99 · GOSK Gabela 1.37), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rudar Kakanj vs GOSK Gabela?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.