Football · England National League Premier Women · 30/08, 15:00
Prediction: Hull (W) vs Liverpool Feds (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Hull (W)1.43
Liverpool Feds (W)2.22
1X2
Hull (W)
Draw
Liverpool Feds (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Hull (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Liverpool Feds (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hull (W)
0–5
Liverpool Feds (W)
(5 last)
- Liverpool Feds (W)4-1Hull (W)
- Hull (W)1-3Liverpool Feds (W)
- Liverpool Feds (W)2-0Hull (W)
- Hull (W)2-4Liverpool Feds (W)
- Hull (W)1-2Liverpool Feds (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hull (W) 1393 · Liverpool Feds (W) 1505
| Hull (W) | Draw | Liverpool Feds (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| Market | 23% | 23% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liverpool Feds (W) (rating 1393 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Liverpool Feds (W): 5-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hull (W) | Liverpool Feds (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 3 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hull (W) 0–0–5 Liverpool Feds (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 England National League Premier Women | Liverpool Feds (W) | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Hull (W) |
| 14/09/25 England National League Premier Women | Hull (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Liverpool Feds (W) |
| 16/02/25 England National League Premier Women | Liverpool Feds (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hull (W) |
| 08/09/24 England National League Premier Women | Hull (W) | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Liverpool Feds (W) |
| 28/11/21 England FA Cup Women | Hull (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Liverpool Feds (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hull (W) | Liverpool Feds (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley (W) | 0-7 L | 0-2 L |
| Derby (W) | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Middlesbrough (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| West Brom (W) | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Sporting Khalsa (W) | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Loughborough Lightning (W) | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Stoke (W) | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Liverpool Feds (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hull (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Norwich (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Burnley (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Derby (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Middlesbrough (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | West Brom (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/03 | Sporting Khalsa (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/02 | Loughborough Lightning (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/02 | Wolverhampton (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/02 | Stoke (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 25/01 | Liverpool Feds (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
Liverpool Feds (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Derby (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | Rugby Borough (W) England National League Premier Women |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 05/04 | West Brom (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Middlesbrough (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 08/03 | Stoke (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/03 | Sporting Khalsa (W) England National League Premier Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 22/02 | Loughborough Lightning (W) England National League Premier Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 12/02 | Burnley (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/01 | Hull (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/11 | Halifax (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hull (W) vs Liverpool Feds (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Liverpool Feds (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Hull (W) 23%, draw 23%, Liverpool Feds (W) 54%.
How many goals are expected in Hull (W) vs Liverpool Feds (W)?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Hull (W) 1.43 · Liverpool Feds (W) 2.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull (W) vs Liverpool Feds (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.