Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 04/09, 03:00

Prediction: CD Olimpia vs CD Platense

Team pages: CD Olimpia · CD Platense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
CD Olimpia2.33
CD Platense0.78
1X2
72% 17% 11%
CD Olimpia Draw CD Platense
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Olimpia 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWWWDD
CD Platense 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWLWLLDLLW
Head-to-head
CD Olimpia 5–1–0 CD Platense (6 last)
  • CD Olimpia4-0CD Platense
  • CD Platense1-2CD Olimpia
  • CD Platense0-1CD Olimpia
  • CD Olimpia3-1CD Platense
  • CD Olimpia0-0CD Platense
  • CD Platense0-3CD Olimpia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Olimpia 1628 · CD Platense 1449
CD OlimpiaDrawCD Platense
Our model71%19%10%
Market72%16%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Olimpia (rating 1628 vs 1449).
  • H2H favours CD Olimpia: 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD OlimpiaCD Platense
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.10.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 62.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.33.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Olimpia 510 CD Platense

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia4-0
HT 1-0
CD Platense
13/03/26
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Platense1-2
HT 0-0
CD Olimpia
03/11/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Platense0-1
HT 0-0
CD Olimpia
24/08/25
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia3-1
HT 2-1
CD Platense
14/04/22
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia0-0
HT 0-0
CD Platense
03/03/22
Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Platense0-3CD Olimpia

Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Marathon 5320 6311
2 CD Olimpia 4310 9310
3 Motagua 5302 1079
4 Real Espana 4220 728
5 Olancho FC 5221 548
6 Estrella Roja 4211 957
7 Genesis de Comayagua 5212 757
8 CA Independiente Siguatepeque 5122 565
9 CD Platense 5113 3104
10 Atletico Choloma 4103 353
11 Juticalpa 5104 4123
12 Lobos UPNFM 5023 4102

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD OlimpiaCD Platense
Olancho FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
Juticalpa 3-1 W 1-1 D
Lobos UPNFM 2-0 W 4-1 W
CD Marathon 0-1 L 1-1 D
Real Espana 3-2 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Platense (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Olimpia

WWLWLWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Estrella Roja
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 2-2 59 D
24/08 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 32 D
17/08 Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 3-1 78 W
09/08 Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 3-1 35 W
03/08 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
2-0 2-0 32 W
16/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-1 112 L
13/05 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 3-2 74 W
10/05 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-3 82 L
07/05 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 2-0 85 W
01/05 CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 4-0 52 W

CD Platense

DWLWLLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 CA Independiente Siguatepeque
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 2-1 66 W
23/08 Atletico Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-2 0-2 99 L
15/08 Genesis de Comayagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-2 0-3 34 L
08/08 CD Marathon
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 1-1 54 D
01/08 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-2 0-3 40 L
01/05 CD Olimpia
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-1 0-4 52 L
26/04 Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-0 1-0 54 W
23/04 Real Espana
Honduras Liga Nacional
0-2 0-2 82 L
19/04 Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-1 4-1 83 W
16/04 Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
1-0 1-1 56 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Olimpia vs CD Platense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Olimpia win (72%). Probabilities: CD Olimpia 72%, draw 17%, CD Platense 11%.

How many goals are expected in CD Olimpia vs CD Platense?

The model expects 3.11 goals (CD Olimpia 2.33 · CD Platense 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Olimpia vs CD Platense?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.