Football · Belarus Premier League · 11/09, 19:10
Prediction: FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
Team pages: FC Minsk · Slavia Mozyr
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
FC Minsk1.75
Slavia Mozyr1.1
1X2
FC Minsk
Draw
Slavia Mozyr
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Minsk
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Slavia Mozyr
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Minsk
2–3–1
Slavia Mozyr
(6 last)
- Slavia Mozyr1-2FC Minsk
- Slavia Mozyr2-3FC Minsk
- FC Minsk2-2Slavia Mozyr
- FC Minsk1-1Slavia Mozyr
- Slavia Mozyr1-1FC Minsk
- Slavia Mozyr1-0FC Minsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Minsk (rating 1550 vs 1507).
- H2H favours FC Minsk: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Minsk | Slavia Mozyr | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.1 | – / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Minsk 2–3–1 Slavia Mozyr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Minsk |
| 23/11/25 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 2-3 HT 0-0 | FC Minsk |
| 27/06/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Slavia Mozyr |
| 02/11/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Slavia Mozyr |
| 16/06/24 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Minsk |
| 04/08/23 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Minsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 36 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 32 |
| 7 | Neman Grodno | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 31 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 31 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 36 | 24 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 17 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 15 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Minsk | Slavia Mozyr |
|---|---|---|
| FC Vitebsk | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Neman Grodno | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Gomel | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Dinamo Brest | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Minsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 21/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
Slavia Mozyr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 07/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Minsk win (52%). Probabilities: FC Minsk 52%, draw 26%, Slavia Mozyr 23%.
How many goals are expected in FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
The model expects 2.85 goals (FC Minsk 1.75 · Slavia Mozyr 1.1), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.