Football · Belarus Premier League · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk
Team pages: Slavia Mozyr · Naftan Novopolotsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Slavia Mozyr2.28
Naftan Novopolotsk1.08
1X2
Slavia Mozyr
Draw
Naftan Novopolotsk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Slavia Mozyr
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Naftan Novopolotsk
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slavia Mozyr
5–1–0
Naftan Novopolotsk
(6 last)
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-1Slavia Mozyr
- Slavia Mozyr2-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-1Slavia Mozyr
- Slavia Mozyr1-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-1Slavia Mozyr
- Naftan Novopolotsk2-2Slavia Mozyr
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slavia Mozyr (rating 1530 vs 1405).
- H2H favours Slavia Mozyr: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slavia Mozyr | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavia Mozyr 5–1–0 Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Slavia Mozyr |
| 01/11/25 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 15/06/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Slavia Mozyr |
| 08/11/24 Belarus Premier League | Slavia Mozyr | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 22/06/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Slavia Mozyr |
| 28/10/23 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Slavia Mozyr |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 37 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 36 |
| 6 | Neman Grodno | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 34 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | FC Vitebsk | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 33 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 36 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 18 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 36 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 54 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slavia Mozyr | Naftan Novopolotsk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Minsk | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| FC Vitebsk | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Neman Grodno | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| FK Gomel | 0-0 D | 0-6 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Dinamo Brest | 1-4 L | 2-4 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Slavia Mozyr (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slavia Mozyr
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 07/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slavia Mozyr win (63%). Probabilities: Slavia Mozyr 63%, draw 21%, Naftan Novopolotsk 16%.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Slavia Mozyr 2.28 · Naftan Novopolotsk 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Slavia Mozyr vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.