Football · Belarus Premier League · 19/09, 19:00
Prediction: Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov
Team pages: Dinamo Minsk · BATE Borisov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Dinamo Minsk1.46
BATE Borisov0.76
1X2
Dinamo Minsk
Draw
BATE Borisov
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Minsk
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
BATE Borisov
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Minsk
3–3–0
BATE Borisov
(6 last)
- BATE Borisov0-0Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk1-1BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov2-2Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk2-1BATE Borisov
- Dinamo Minsk1-0BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov0-2Dinamo Minsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Minsk (rating 1513 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Dinamo Minsk: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dinamo Minsk | BATE Borisov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.3 | – / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Minsk 3–3–0 BATE Borisov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/26 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 16/05/26 Belarus Cup | Dinamo Minsk | 1-1 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 30/08/25 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 19/04/25 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 2-1 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 25/11/24 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 29/06/24 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Minsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 21 | 37 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 36 |
| 6 | Neman Grodno | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 34 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 34 |
| 8 | FC Vitebsk | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 33 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 36 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 54 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dinamo Minsk | BATE Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Isloch | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| FC Minsk | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Vitebsk | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FK Gomel | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Minsk (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 24/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Minsk win (52%). Probabilities: Dinamo Minsk 52%, draw 29%, BATE Borisov 18%.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Dinamo Minsk 1.46 · BATE Borisov 0.76), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.