Football · Belarus Premier League · 12/09, 15:00
Prediction: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Baranovichi
Team pages: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk · FC Baranovichi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1.17
FC Baranovichi1.45
1X2
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Draw
FC Baranovichi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
FC Baranovichi
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
4–2–0
FC Baranovichi
(6 last)
- FC Baranovichi1-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3-0FC Baranovichi
- FC Baranovichi2-2FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk2-0FC Baranovichi
- FC Baranovichi1-2FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk5-0FC Baranovichi
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Baranovichi (rating 1426 vs 1523).
- H2H favours FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | FC Baranovichi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.7 | – / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4–2–0 FC Baranovichi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Baranovichi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 28/10/23 Belarus Division 1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Baranovichi |
| 24/06/23 Belarus Division 1 | FC Baranovichi | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 16/10/21 Belarus Division 1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Baranovichi |
| 31/07/21 Belarus Division 1 | FC Baranovichi | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 09/05/21 Belarus Division 1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 5-0 HT 2-0 | FC Baranovichi |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 36 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 34 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 31 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 36 | 24 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 17 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 15 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | FC Baranovichi |
|---|---|---|
| Isloch | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Slavia Mozyr | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| BATE Borisov | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Baranovichi (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 12/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
FC Baranovichi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 19/08 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Baranovichi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Baranovichi win (42%). Probabilities: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 29%, draw 28%, FC Baranovichi 42%.
How many goals are expected in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Baranovichi?
The model expects 2.62 goals (FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1.17 · FC Baranovichi 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FC Baranovichi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.