Football · Belarus Premier League · 13/09, 14:00
Prediction: Dnepr Mogilev vs FC ML Vitebsk
Team pages: Dnepr Mogilev · FC ML Vitebsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Dnepr Mogilev1.22
FC ML Vitebsk1.45
1X2
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw
FC ML Vitebsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dnepr Mogilev
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
FC ML Vitebsk
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dnepr Mogilev
1–2
FC ML Vitebsk
(3 last)
- FC ML Vitebsk5-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev2-1FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk5-2Dnepr Mogilev
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC ML Vitebsk (rating 1479 vs 1568).
- H2H favours FC ML Vitebsk: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dnepr Mogilev | FC ML Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dnepr Mogilev 1–0–2 FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Belarus Premier League | FC ML Vitebsk | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 29/10/23 Belarus Division 1 | Dnepr Mogilev | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 25/06/23 Belarus Division 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Dnepr Mogilev |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 36 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 34 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 31 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 36 | 24 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 17 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 15 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dnepr Mogilev | FC ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Baranovichi | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Slavia Mozyr | 0-3 L | 4-2 W |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Minsk | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Vitebsk | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Neman Grodno | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC ML Vitebsk (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 07/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/07 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dnepr Mogilev vs FC ML Vitebsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC ML Vitebsk win (41%). Probabilities: Dnepr Mogilev 31%, draw 28%, FC ML Vitebsk 41%.
How many goals are expected in Dnepr Mogilev vs FC ML Vitebsk?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Dnepr Mogilev 1.22 · FC ML Vitebsk 1.45), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dnepr Mogilev vs FC ML Vitebsk?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.