Football · Belarus Premier League · 13/09, 17:00
Prediction: BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk
Team pages: BATE Borisov · Naftan Novopolotsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
BATE Borisov1.85
Naftan Novopolotsk1.01
1X2
BATE Borisov
Draw
Naftan Novopolotsk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
BATE Borisov
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Naftan Novopolotsk
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BATE Borisov
1–5–0
Naftan Novopolotsk
(6 last)
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-0BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov5-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk2-2BATE Borisov
- Naftan Novopolotsk2-2BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-1Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-0BATE Borisov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BATE Borisov (rating 1479 vs 1409).
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BATE Borisov | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BATE Borisov 1–5–0 Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 23/11/25 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 25/07/25 Belarus Cup | Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-2 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 29/06/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-2 HT 1-1 | BATE Borisov |
| 10/08/24 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 30/03/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 15 | 42 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 40 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 36 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 34 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 32 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 31 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 36 | 24 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 17 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 15 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BATE Borisov | Naftan Novopolotsk |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| FC Minsk | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Vitebsk | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| FK Gomel | 0-1 L | 0-6 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: BATE Borisov (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/06 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a BATE Borisov win (56%). Probabilities: BATE Borisov 56%, draw 25%, Naftan Novopolotsk 19%.
How many goals are expected in BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model expects 2.86 goals (BATE Borisov 1.85 · Naftan Novopolotsk 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.