Football · South Africa National Div 1 · 31/10, 14:30
Prediction: Lerumo Lions vs Pretoria University
Team pages: Lerumo Lions · Pretoria University
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Lerumo Lions1.45
Pretoria University1.06
1X2
Lerumo Lions
Draw
Pretoria University
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Lerumo Lions
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Pretoria University
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lerumo Lions
2–0
Pretoria University
(2 last)
- Pretoria University0-1Lerumo Lions
- Lerumo Lions2-1Pretoria University
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lerumo Lions 1562 · Pretoria University 1460
| Lerumo Lions | Draw | Pretoria University | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lerumo Lions (rating 1562 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Lerumo Lions: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lerumo Lions | Pretoria University | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lerumo Lions 2–0–0 Pretoria University
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 South Africa National Div 1 | Pretoria University | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lerumo Lions |
| 06/12/25 South Africa National Div 1 | Lerumo Lions | 2-1 | Pretoria University |
Standings · South Africa National Div 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magesi FC | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Cape Town City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Native FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Hungry Lions FC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Lerumo Lions | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Upington City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Seapoint Swifts FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Highbury FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| 9 | NWU FC | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gomora United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Leicesterford City FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Midlands Wanderers FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Pretoria University | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Orbit College | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 15 | The Bees FC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Venda Football Academy | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lerumo Lions | Pretoria University |
|---|---|---|
| Leicesterford City FC | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Seapoint Swifts FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Orbit College | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| NWU FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Venda Football Academy | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Midlands Wanderers FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lerumo Lions (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lerumo Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Leicesterford City FC South Africa National Div 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/10 | Seapoint Swifts FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 19/09 | The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Real Native FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Orbit College South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | NWU FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Black Leopards South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Pretoria University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | NWU FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Hungry Lions FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Leicesterford City FC South Africa National Div 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Upington City South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Orbit College South Africa National Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Seapoint Swifts FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1 |
3-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Milford FC South Africa National Div 1 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lerumo Lions vs Pretoria University?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lerumo Lions win (44%). Probabilities: Lerumo Lions 44%, draw 30%, Pretoria University 26%.
How many goals are expected in Lerumo Lions vs Pretoria University?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Lerumo Lions 1.45 · Pretoria University 1.06), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lerumo Lions vs Pretoria University?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.