Football · South Africa National Div 1 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Midlands Wanderers FC vs Lerumo Lions

Team pages: Midlands Wanderers FC · Lerumo Lions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Midlands Wanderers FC0.89

Lerumo Lions1.36

1X2

23% 30% 47%

Midlands Wanderers FC Draw Lerumo Lions

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Midlands Wanderers FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWDLL

Lerumo Lions 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLDWWW

Head-to-head

Midlands Wanderers FC 0–1–1 Lerumo Lions (2 last)

Midlands Wanderers FC1-1Lerumo Lions
Lerumo Lions2-1Midlands Wanderers FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lerumo Lions (rating 1435 vs 1561).
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Midlands Wanderers FC	Lerumo Lions
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.8	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.89

Under 21.86

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.76 → 2.76	Pinn 2.76
X	2.79 → 2.79	Pinn 2.79
2	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.65

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:41 +60’	2.76	2.79	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Midlands Wanderers FC 0–1–1 Lerumo Lions

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 South Africa National Div 1	Midlands Wanderers FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Lerumo Lions
23/11/25 South Africa National Div 1	Lerumo Lions	2-1	Midlands Wanderers FC

Standings · South Africa National Div 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cape Town City	9	6	2	1	15	8	20
2	Magesi FC	9	6	2	1	12	5	20
3	Lerumo Lions	9	5	2	2	14	7	17
4	Seapoint Swifts FC	9	5	2	2	9	5	17
5	Real Native FC	9	5	2	2	11	8	17
6	Hungry Lions FC	9	4	4	1	11	5	16
7	Upington City	9	4	3	2	13	10	15
8	Highbury FC	9	4	3	2	10	8	15
9	NWU FC	9	2	5	2	7	8	11
10	Gomora United	9	3	2	4	10	15	11
11	Leicesterford City FC	9	3	1	5	9	13	10
12	Midlands Wanderers FC	9	2	2	5	5	8	8
13	Pretoria University	9	2	2	5	9	13	8
14	The Bees FC	9	2	0	7	5	11	6
15	Orbit College	9	0	4	5	4	10	4
16	Venda Football Academy	9	0	2	7	4	14	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Midlands Wanderers FC	Lerumo Lions
The Bees FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Seapoint Swifts FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Venda Football Academy	1-0 W	1-1 D
Leicesterford City FC	0-1 L	3-0 W
NWU FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Real Native FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Pretoria University	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lerumo Lions (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Midlands Wanderers FC

LLWLDLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
23/10	Upington City South Africa National Div 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/10	Seapoint Swifts FC South Africa National Div 1	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
10/10	Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Leicesterford City FC South Africa National Div 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
12/09	NWU FC South Africa National Div 1	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/09	Real Native FC South Africa National Div 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
29/08	Pretoria University South Africa National Div 1	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/08	Magesi FC South Africa National Div 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
17/05	Pretoria University South Africa National Div 1	1-3	2-6	3	2	L

Lerumo Lions

WDWWLLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Pretoria University South Africa National Div 1	2-0	3-1	1	0	W
24/10	Leicesterford City FC South Africa National Div 1	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
16/10	Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/10	Seapoint Swifts FC South Africa National Div 1	1-0	1-1	7	1	D
19/09	The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Real Native FC South Africa National Div 1	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/09	Orbit College South Africa National Div 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	NWU FC South Africa National Div 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
21/08	Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
17/05	Black Leopards South Africa National Div 1	–	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Midlands Wanderers FC vs Lerumo Lions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lerumo Lions win (47%). Probabilities: Midlands Wanderers FC 23%, draw 30%, Lerumo Lions 47%.

How many goals are expected in Midlands Wanderers FC vs Lerumo Lions?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Midlands Wanderers FC 0.89 · Lerumo Lions 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Midlands Wanderers FC vs Lerumo Lions?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.