Football · South Africa National Div 1 · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Leicesterford City FC vs Real Native FC

Team pages: Leicesterford City FC · Real Native FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Leicesterford City FC0.99

Real Native FC1.55

1X2

23% 29% 49%

Leicesterford City FC Draw Real Native FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Leicesterford City FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLLLL

Real Native FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLWDD

Head-to-head

Leicesterford City FC 1–1 Real Native FC (2 last)

Leicesterford City FC2-1Real Native FC
Real Native FC4-0Leicesterford City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leicesterford City FC 1451 · Real Native FC 1542

	Leicesterford City FC	Draw	Real Native FC
Our model	23%	28%	49%
Market	22%	29%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Native FC (rating 1451 vs 1542).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leicesterford City FC	Real Native FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	17/83/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	3.5 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.10

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.09
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.90 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +15’	4.00	3.10	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:51 +8’	3.92	2.99	1.96
02:29 +13’	4.09▲	3.04▲	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leicesterford City FC 1–0–1 Real Native FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 South Africa National Div 1	Leicesterford City FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Real Native FC
06/12/25 South Africa National Div 1	Real Native FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Leicesterford City FC

Standings · South Africa National Div 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cape Town City	9	6	2	1	15	8	20
2	Magesi FC	9	6	2	1	12	5	20
3	Lerumo Lions	9	5	2	2	14	7	17
4	Seapoint Swifts FC	9	5	2	2	9	5	17
5	Real Native FC	9	5	2	2	11	8	17
6	Hungry Lions FC	9	4	4	1	11	5	16
7	Upington City	9	4	3	2	13	10	15
8	Highbury FC	9	4	3	2	10	8	15
9	NWU FC	9	2	5	2	7	8	11
10	Gomora United	9	3	2	4	10	15	11
11	Leicesterford City FC	9	3	1	5	9	13	10
12	Midlands Wanderers FC	9	2	2	5	5	8	8
13	Pretoria University	9	2	2	5	9	13	8
14	The Bees FC	9	2	0	7	5	11	6
15	Orbit College	9	0	4	5	4	10	4
16	Venda Football Academy	9	0	2	7	4	14	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leicesterford City FC	Real Native FC
Highbury FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Lerumo Lions	0-3 L	1-0 W
NWU FC	0-1 L	2-2 D
Midlands Wanderers FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Gomora United	4-1 W	3-1 W
Cape Town City	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Native FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leicesterford City FC

LWDLWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
24/10	Lerumo Lions South Africa National Div 1	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
17/10	NWU FC South Africa National Div 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Pretoria University South Africa National Div 1	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
19/09	Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
12/09	Gomora United South Africa National Div 1	–	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	Magesi FC South Africa National Div 1	1-0	1-3	5	7	L
02/09	Cape Town City South Africa National Div 1	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
22/08	Orbit College South Africa National Div 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
17/05	Cape Town City South Africa National Div 1	1-2	2-4	3	1	L

Real Native FC

WWLWWWLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	NWU FC South Africa National Div 1	–	2-2	–	–	D
23/10	Highbury FC South Africa National Div 1	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
17/10	The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	Hungry Lions FC South Africa National Div 1	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/09	Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
12/09	Lerumo Lions South Africa National Div 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
29/08	Upington City South Africa National Div 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	Cape Town City South Africa National Div 1	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
17/05	Gomora United South Africa National Div 1	1-1	3-1	12	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leicesterford City FC vs Real Native FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Native FC win (49%). Probabilities: Leicesterford City FC 23%, draw 29%, Real Native FC 49%.

How many goals are expected in Leicesterford City FC vs Real Native FC?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Leicesterford City FC 0.99 · Real Native FC 1.55), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Leicesterford City FC vs Real Native FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.