Football · Romania Liga III · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: USV Iasi vs ACS FC Bacau II

Team pages: USV Iasi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
USV Iasi1.81
ACS FC Bacau II1.43
1X2
46% 25% 30%
USV Iasi Draw ACS FC Bacau II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
USV Iasi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLDDDLWWDW
ACS FC Bacau II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLLWDW
Head-to-head
USV Iasi 3–0 ACS FC Bacau II (3 last)
  • USV Iasi2-1ACS FC Bacau II
  • ACS FC Bacau II2-3USV Iasi
  • USV Iasi3-2ACS FC Bacau II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Iasi 1559 · ACS FC Bacau II 1476
USV IasiDrawACS FC Bacau II
Our model46%25%30%
Market46%24%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Iasi (rating 1559 vs 1476).
  • H2H favours USV Iasi: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

USV IasiACS FC Bacau II
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.51.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.81 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/80/20%67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.54 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.22 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Iasi 300 ACS FC Bacau II

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Romania Liga III
USV Iasi2-1ACS FC Bacau II
14/11/25
Romania Liga III
ACS FC Bacau II2-3USV Iasi
05/09/25
Romania Liga III
USV Iasi3-2
HT 1-0
ACS FC Bacau II

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CSSM Vaslui 3210 737
2 ACS FC Bacau II 3210 647
3 CSM Adjud 3210 537
4 USV Iasi 3210 317
5 Odorheiu Secuiesc 3120 325
6 Viitorul Onesti 3111 734
7 CS Bradul Putna 3111 744
8 Aerostar Bacau 3102 253
9 CS Gheorgheni 3102 553
10 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 3021 562
11 CSM Pascani 3003 370
12 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt 3003 0100

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUSV IasiACS FC Bacau II
Viitorul Onesti 0-0 D 3-2 W
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 2-1 W 2-2 D
Acs Bucovina Radauti 1-6 L 0-4 L
Odorheiu Secuiesc 1-1 D 2-4 L
CSSM Vaslui 2-2 D 1-2 L
CSM Adjud 1-1 D 1-2 L
CS Gheorgheni 0-2 L 3-1 W
Aerostar Bacau 3-1 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 4 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: USV Iasi (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Iasi

WLDDDLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
Romania Liga III
1-0 45 W
05/09 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
0-0 D
29/08 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-1 76 W
16/05 ACS FC Bacau II
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
09/05 Acs Bucovina Radauti
Romania Liga III
1-6 L
01/05 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 53 D
25/04 CSSM Vaslui
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-2 06 D
17/04 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 86 D
10/04 CS Gheorgheni
Romania Liga III
0-2 L
03/04 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
0-0 3-1 36 W

ACS FC Bacau II

LWLWLLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
3-2 W
05/09 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
2-2 D
28/08 CSM Pascani
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-0 54 W
16/05 USV Iasi
Romania Liga III
1-2 L
08/05 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
1-2 L
02/05 Acs Bucovina Radauti
Romania Liga III
0-4 L
24/04 CS Gheorgheni
Romania Liga III
0-0 3-1 103 W
17/04 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
2-4 L
10/04 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
2-0 3-2 10 W
04/04 CSSM Vaslui
Romania Liga III
1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Iasi vs ACS FC Bacau II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a USV Iasi win (46%). Probabilities: USV Iasi 46%, draw 25%, ACS FC Bacau II 30%.

How many goals are expected in USV Iasi vs ACS FC Bacau II?

The model expects 3.24 goals (USV Iasi 1.81 · ACS FC Bacau II 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Iasi vs ACS FC Bacau II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.