Football · Romania Liga III · 06/11, 13:00

Prediction: CSM Pascani vs ACS FC Bacau II

Team pages: CSM Pascani · ACS FC Bacau II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
CSM Pascani1.01
ACS FC Bacau II2.2
1X2
16% 20% 64%
CSM Pascani Draw ACS FC Bacau II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Pascani 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLDLDLDD
ACS FC Bacau II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLDLLWD
Head-to-head
CSM Pascani 0–1 ACS FC Bacau II (1 last)
  • ACS FC Bacau II1-0CSM Pascani
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Pascani 1419 · ACS FC Bacau II 1485
CSM PascaniDrawACS FC Bacau II
Our model15%21%63%
Market16%20%64%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS FC Bacau II (rating 1419 vs 1485).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSM PascaniACS FC Bacau II
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.71.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 00.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/33/0%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.71.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Pascani 0–0–1 ACS FC Bacau II

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/08/26
Romania Liga III
ACS FC Bacau II1-0
HT 1-0
CSM Pascani

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CSSM Vaslui 11920 281229
2 CSM Adjud 11632 221121
3 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 11632 251621
4 CS Bradul Putna 11623 261520
5 USV Iasi 11542 161219
6 Aerostar Bacau 11434 171515
7 ACS FC Bacau II 11434 142115
8 Odorheiu Secuiesc 11353 151514
9 CS Gheorgheni 11236 15239
10 Viitorul Onesti 11146 17217
11 CSM Pascani 11047 12284
12 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt 11047 6244

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCSM PascaniACS FC Bacau II
USV Iasi 1-1 D 1-2 L
Viitorul Onesti 2-2 D 3-2 W
ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc 1-2 L 2-2 D
FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt 1-1 D 1-0 W
Aerostar Bacau 0-5 L 0-0 D
Odorheiu Secuiesc 1-1 D 2-1 W
CS Bradul Putna 2-7 L 1-3 L
CSSM Vaslui 1-2 L 2-4 L
CS Gheorgheni 2-4 L 1-1 D
CSM Adjud 1-2 L 0-6 L
Record vs common 0 W 4 D 6 L 3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: ACS FC Bacau II (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Pascani

LLLLDLDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 USV Iasi
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-1 44 D
24/10 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
16/10 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-2 29 L
10/10 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-1 81 D
02/10 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
– 0-5 –– L
26/09 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
23/09 CS Bradul Putna
Romania Liga III
– 2-7 –– L
18/09 CSSM Vaslui
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 –– L
12/09 CS Gheorgheni
Romania Liga III
– 2-4 –– L
04/09 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
– 1-2 –– L

ACS FC Bacau II

DWLWLDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 Aerostar Bacau
Romania Liga III
– 0-0 –– D
23/10 Odorheiu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 2-1 –– W
17/10 CS Bradul Putna
Romania Liga III
– 1-3 –– L
09/10 CSSM Vaslui
Romania Liga III
– 2-4 –– L
03/10 CS Gheorgheni
Romania Liga III
0-0 1-1 53 D
26/09 CSM Adjud
Romania Liga III
– 0-6 –– L
23/09 FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
19/09 USV Iasi
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-2 43 L
11/09 Viitorul Onesti
Romania Liga III
– 3-2 –– W
05/09 ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Pascani vs ACS FC Bacau II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ACS FC Bacau II win (64%). Probabilities: CSM Pascani 16%, draw 20%, ACS FC Bacau II 64%.

How many goals are expected in CSM Pascani vs ACS FC Bacau II?

The model expects 3.21 goals (CSM Pascani 1.01 · ACS FC Bacau II 2.2), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CSM Pascani vs ACS FC Bacau II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.