Football · Romania Liga III · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: SCM Zalau vs Unirea Dej

Team pages: SCM Zalau · Unirea Dej

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

SCM Zalau2.14

Unirea Dej0.62

1X2

73% 17% 10%

SCM Zalau Draw Unirea Dej

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

SCM Zalau 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDDDLW

Unirea Dej 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLLLWL

Head-to-head

SCM Zalau 3–2–1 Unirea Dej (6 last)

Unirea Dej0-2SCM Zalau
SCM Zalau1-0Unirea Dej
Unirea Dej0-1SCM Zalau
Unirea Dej1-0SCM Zalau
SCM Zalau1-1Unirea Dej
Unirea Dej0-0SCM Zalau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SCM Zalau 1543 · Unirea Dej 1432

	SCM Zalau	Draw	Unirea Dej
Our model	72%	20%	9%
Market	74%	16%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SCM Zalau (rating 1543 vs 1432).
H2H favours SCM Zalau: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SCM Zalau	Unirea Dej
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3	1.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.5	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.75

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)2.00

2 (+2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:34 +32’	1.22	5.75	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SCM Zalau 3–2–1 Unirea Dej

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Romania Liga III	Unirea Dej	0-2	SCM Zalau
27/02/26 Romania Liga III	SCM Zalau	1-0 HT 1-0	Unirea Dej
03/10/25 Romania Liga III	Unirea Dej	0-1 HT 0-1	SCM Zalau
29/07/23 Club Friendly List	Unirea Dej	1-0 HT 0-0	SCM Zalau
29/05/21 Romania Liga III	SCM Zalau	1-1 HT 0-0	Unirea Dej
22/05/21 Romania Liga III	Unirea Dej	0-0 HT 0-0	SCM Zalau

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Minaur Baia Mare	13	10	2	1	39	9	32
2	CS Sanatatea Cluj	13	8	4	1	26	9	28
3	CS Academica Recea	13	7	0	6	29	27	21
4	CS Crisul Santandrei	12	6	3	3	20	17	21
5	SCM Zalau	12	5	4	3	20	13	19
6	Sighetu Marmatiei	12	5	3	4	22	16	18
7	CF Bihorul Beius	12	4	4	4	11	15	16
8	CS Lotus Baile Felix	13	4	4	5	22	22	16
9	ACS Viitorul Cluj	12	4	3	5	22	19	15
10	AFC Unirea Tasnad	13	2	5	6	10	28	11
11	Unirea Dej	12	2	2	8	7	18	8
12	Transilvania Sport Academy	13	0	2	11	10	45	2

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SCM Zalau	Unirea Dej
CS Academica Recea	3-2 W	3-0 W
CS Minaur Baia Mare	2-3 L	1-5 L
CF Bihorul Beius	1-1 D	0-1 L
CS Lotus Baile Felix	1-1 D	2-0 W
CS Sanatatea Cluj	1-1 D	0-1 L
CS Crisul Santandrei	1-2 L	1-2 L
Sighetu Marmatiei	2-0 W	0-3 L
AFC Unirea Tasnad	4-0 W	0-0 D
Transilvania Sport Academy	3-2 W	0-0 D
ACS Viitorul Cluj	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: SCM Zalau (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SCM Zalau

DWWWLDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	2-1	3-2	6	7	W
31/10	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	–	2-3	–	–	L
24/10	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/10	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	0	3	D
03/10	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
23/09	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
19/09	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D

Unirea Dej

WLLDDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	CF Bihorul Beius Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/10	CS Lotus Baile Felix Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
23/10	CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
16/10	CS Crisul Santandrei Romania Liga III	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
10/10	Sighetu Marmatiei Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
02/10	AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
26/09	Transilvania Sport Academy Romania Liga III	–	0-0	–	–	D
23/09	ACS Viitorul Cluj Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
19/09	CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III	0-4	1-5	3	3	L
11/09	CS Academica Recea Romania Liga III	–	3-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SCM Zalau vs Unirea Dej?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SCM Zalau win (73%). Probabilities: SCM Zalau 73%, draw 17%, Unirea Dej 10%.

How many goals are expected in SCM Zalau vs Unirea Dej?

The model expects 2.76 goals (SCM Zalau 2.14 · Unirea Dej 0.62), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SCM Zalau vs Unirea Dej?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.