Football · Romania Liga III · 09/10, 14:00

Prediction: ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel vs CSM Sacele

Team pages: CSM Sacele

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel2.43
CSM Sacele1.58
1X2
55% 22% 23%
ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel Draw CSM Sacele
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWDLDDDW
CSM Sacele 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel 1560 · CSM Sacele 1430
ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung MuscelDrawCSM Sacele
Our model56%21%24%
Market54%23%22%
Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel (rating 1560 vs 1430).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung MuscelCSM Sacele
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.61.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)– / –0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)//%25/0/75%
Corners (HT / FT)– / –3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)– / –5 / 0.3

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Corona Brasov 7520 20317
2 FC Inter Sibiu 7502 19615
3 CSO Baicoi 7430 15515
4 ACS Olimpic Zarnesti 7502 161615
5 ACS Medias 2022 7421 161014
6 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 7412 171113
7 ACS Sepsi II 7403 141412
8 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel 7241 161210
9 CSM Sacele 7205 9176
10 Tricolorul Breaza 7016 6211
11 CS Carpati Covasna 7016 5241
12 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov 7007 2160

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung MuscelCSM Sacele
CSO Baicoi 2-2 D 2-4 L
ACS Medias 2022 1-1 D 3-4 L
Corona Brasov 1-3 L 0-4 L
CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 1-1 D 3-4 L
ACS Olimpic Zarnesti 5-3 W 0-1 L
FC Inter Sibiu 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel

WWWWDLDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Tricolorul Breaza
Romania Liga III
– 5-1 –– W
25/09 CS Carpati Covasna
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
22/09 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
– 2-2 –– D
18/09 ACS Medias 2022
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
11/09 Corona Brasov
Romania Liga III
– 1-3 –– L
05/09 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
– 1-1 –– D
28/08 ACS Olimpic Zarnesti
Romania Liga III
– 5-3 –– W
15/05 CS Gilortul Targu Carbunesti
Romania Liga III
– 5-0 –– W
08/05 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
– 3-2 –– W
02/05 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
– 4-2 –– W

CSM Sacele

WLLWWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 ACS Medias 2022
Romania Liga III
– 3-4 –– L
26/09 Corona Brasov
Romania Liga III
– 0-4 –– L
23/09 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
– 3-4 –– L
19/09 ACS Olimpic Zarnesti
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
12/09 ACS Sepsi II
Romania Liga III
0-1 0-3 57 L
04/09 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
– 1-0 –– W
29/08 ACS Kids Tampa Brasov
Romania Liga III
– 2-1 –– W
16/05 FC Pucioasa
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-2 75 L
08/05 CSO Baicoi
Romania Liga III
0-2 2-4 54 L
02/05 CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte
Romania Liga III
3-1 7-2 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel vs CSM Sacele?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel win (55%). Probabilities: ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel 55%, draw 22%, CSM Sacele 23%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel vs CSM Sacele?

The model expects 4.01 goals (ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel 2.43 · CSM Sacele 1.58), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel vs CSM Sacele?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.