Football · Romania Liga III · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: ACS Progresul Pecica vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Team pages: ACS Progresul Pecica · CS Metalurgistul Cugir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
ACS Progresul Pecica1.84
CS Metalurgistul Cugir1.94
1X2
36% 24% 40%
ACS Progresul Pecica Draw CS Metalurgistul Cugir
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Progresul Pecica 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLDWLLWLWL
CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDLDWLDL
Head-to-head
ACS Progresul Pecica 0–1–1 CS Metalurgistul Cugir (2 last)
  • ACS Progresul Pecica3-3CS Metalurgistul Cugir
  • CS Metalurgistul Cugir2-1ACS Progresul Pecica
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ACS Progresul Pecica 1464 · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1459
ACS Progresul PecicaDrawCS Metalurgistul Cugir
Our model37%23%40%
Market36%25%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ACS Progresul PecicaCS Metalurgistul Cugir
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 2.41.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 1.50.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/25/75%0/57/43%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.52.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.34.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Progresul Pecica 0–1–1 CS Metalurgistul Cugir

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Romania Liga III
ACS Progresul Pecica3-3CS Metalurgistul Cugir
31/10/25
Romania Liga III
CS Metalurgistul Cugir2-1ACS Progresul Pecica

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Unirea Alba Iulia 9621 25520
2 ACS CIL Blaj 8521 191317
3 CS Timisul Sag 8521 10517
4 CS Unirea Santana 8503 15615
5 CSM Deva 9432 211415
6 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 9432 151215
7 ACS Viitorul Arad 8332 121212
8 ACS Progresul Pecica 8314 151810
9 SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 9216 10217
10 CS Metalurgistul Cugir 8134 10146
11 CSU Alba Iulia 9045 6174
12 FC Nera Bogodinti 9027 3242

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentACS Progresul PecicaCS Metalurgistul Cugir
Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII 0-5 L 3-3 D
ACS CIL Blaj 2-1 W 0-2 L
CS Timisul Sag 0-3 L 0-1 L
CSM Deva 1-3 L 0-2 L
ACS Viitorul Arad 0-0 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ACS Progresul Pecica

WLDWLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Romania Liga III
0-2 0-5 12 L
03/10 ACS CIL Blaj
Romania Liga III
– 2-1 –– W
26/09 CS Unirea Santana
Romania Liga III
– 1-4 –– L
22/09 CSU Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
– 6-0 –– W
18/09 CS Timisul Sag
Romania Liga III
0-2 0-3 36 L
11/09 CSM Deva
Romania Liga III
– 1-3 –– L
04/09 Stinta Poli Timisoara 2
Romania Liga III
– 5-2 –– W
29/08 ACS Viitorul Arad
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-0 67 D
16/05 CSU Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
0-2 2-6 42 L
08/05 ACS CIL Blaj
Romania Liga III
– 4-0 –– W

CS Metalurgistul Cugir

LDLDLDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 CSM Deva
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-2 75 L
02/10 SSU Politehnica Timisoara II
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 62 D
26/09 ACS Viitorul Arad
Romania Liga III
1-2 1-3 84 L
23/09 FC Nera Bogodinti
Romania Liga III
– 3-0 –– W
18/09 Unirea Alba Iulia
Romania Liga III
0-1 2-2 05 D
11/09 CS Timisul Sag
Romania Liga III
– 0-1 –– L
04/09 Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII
Romania Liga III
1-2 3-3 33 D
29/08 ACS CIL Blaj
Romania Liga III
– 0-2 –– L
22/05 CS Minaur Baia Mare
Romania Liga III
1-1 3-3 36 D
15/05 CS Sanatatea Cluj
Romania Liga III
1-1 2-3 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ACS Progresul Pecica vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Metalurgistul Cugir win (40%). Probabilities: ACS Progresul Pecica 36%, draw 24%, CS Metalurgistul Cugir 40%.

How many goals are expected in ACS Progresul Pecica vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

The model expects 3.78 goals (ACS Progresul Pecica 1.84 · CS Metalurgistul Cugir 1.94), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ACS Progresul Pecica vs CS Metalurgistul Cugir?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.