Football · Romania Liga III · 16/10, 14:00

Prediction: Dinamo Bucharest II vs AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

Team pages: Dinamo Bucharest II · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Dinamo Bucharest II1.33

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti1.76

1X2

29% 25% 47%

Dinamo Bucharest II Draw AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Bucharest II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dinamo Bucharest II 0–2 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti (2 last)

Dinamo Bucharest II0-2AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucharest II1-2AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Bucharest II 1472 · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1459

	Dinamo Bucharest II	Draw	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Our model	28%	25%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Bucharest II	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	17/50/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +10’	3.10	3.75	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Bucharest II 0–0–2 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/21 Romania Liga III	Dinamo Bucharest II	0-2 HT 0-1	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
12/03/21 Romania Liga III	Dinamo Bucharest II	1-2 HT 0-1	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CS Omega Sport Bucuresti	8	6	2	0	11	5	20
2	CSM Alexandria	8	5	2	1	13	6	17
3	Dunarea Giurgiu	8	3	5	0	14	9	14
4	ACS Inter Ilfov	8	4	2	2	19	13	14
5	Progresul Mogosoaia	8	3	3	2	11	12	12
6	Acs Axi Arena	8	4	0	4	7	8	12
7	Oxigen Bucuresti	8	3	1	4	11	14	10
8	Cetatea Turnu Magurele	8	2	3	3	19	13	9
9	Dinamo Bucharest II	8	3	0	5	8	13	9
10	FC Voluntari II	8	2	1	5	8	12	7
11	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	8	2	0	6	10	11	6
12	Steaua Bucharest II	8	1	1	6	9	24	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Bucharest II	AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
CSM Alexandria	0-1 L	0-1 L
Oxigen Bucuresti	1-2 L	5-1 W
Progresul Mogosoaia	3-0 W	1-2 L
FC Voluntari II	1-0 W	1-2 L
Acs Axi Arena	0-2 L	1-2 L
Steaua Bucharest II	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Bucharest II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/10	Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
25/09	ACS Inter Ilfov Romania Liga III	0-1	1-5	7	4	L
22/09	Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III	1-0	1-3	7	4	L
19/09	Progresul Mogosoaia Romania Liga III	0-0	3-0	3	4	W
11/09	FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III	–	1-0	1	2	W
04/09	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	0-2	0-2	1	5	L
28/08	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
15/05	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	1-0	1-3	2	0	L
08/05	FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III	0-0	2-1	6	3	W

AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
02/10	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/09	Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	CS Omega Sport Bucuresti Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
12/09	Progresul Mogosoaia Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
04/09	CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III	–	5-1	7	2	W
15/05	Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III	4-0	8-0	6	5	W
09/05	Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III	0-1	4-2	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Bucharest II vs AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti win (47%). Probabilities: Dinamo Bucharest II 29%, draw 25%, AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 47%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Bucharest II vs AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Dinamo Bucharest II 1.33 · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Bucharest II vs AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.