Football · Romania Liga III · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte vs ACS Medias 2022

Team pages: CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte · ACS Medias 2022

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte1.5

ACS Medias 20222.46

1X2

22% 20% 58%

CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte Draw ACS Medias 2022

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLLLD

ACS Medias 2022 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 0–1 ACS Medias 2022 (1 last)

ACS Medias 20223-0CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 1484 · ACS Medias 2022 1592

	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte	Draw	ACS Medias 2022
Our model	22%	20%	58%
Market	22%	21%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Medias 2022 (rating 1484 vs 1592).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte	ACS Medias 2022
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	2.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	1.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.3	3.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.33

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.93

2 (-1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +4’	4.10	4.33	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 0–0–1 ACS Medias 2022

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Romania Liga III	ACS Medias 2022	3-0 HT 2-0	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Corona Brasov	11	8	3	0	33	4	27
2	ACS Medias 2022	11	8	2	1	29	15	26
3	CSO Baicoi	11	6	4	1	27	12	22
4	FC Inter Sibiu	11	7	0	4	28	12	21
5	ACS Olimpic Zarnesti	11	6	1	4	21	29	19
6	CSM Sacele	11	6	0	5	20	19	18
7	ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel	11	4	4	3	22	17	16
8	ACS Sepsi II	11	5	0	6	20	23	15
9	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte	11	4	2	5	22	23	14
10	ACS Kids Tampa Brasov	11	2	0	9	10	23	6
11	Tricolorul Breaza	11	1	1	9	11	31	4
12	CS Carpati Covasna	11	0	1	10	5	40	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte	ACS Medias 2022
Corona Brasov	1-1 D	1-3 L
CSO Baicoi	2-4 L	1-1 D
ACS Olimpic Zarnesti	1-4 L	3-0 W
ACS Sepsi II	1-3 L	3-2 W
FC Inter Sibiu	1-2 L	3-2 W
ACS Kids Tampa Brasov	3-0 W	4-1 W
CSM Sacele	4-3 W	4-3 W
Tricolorul Breaza	5-1 W	2-1 W
CS Carpati Covasna	3-1 W	4-1 W
ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	7 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Medias 2022 (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte

DWWWWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Corona Brasov Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/10	CSO Baicoi Romania Liga III	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
17/10	ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III	–	1-4	–	–	L
10/10	ACS Sepsi II Romania Liga III	–	1-3	–	–	L
02/10	FC Inter Sibiu Romania Liga III	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
26/09	ACS Kids Tampa Brasov Romania Liga III	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
23/09	CSM Sacele Romania Liga III	–	4-3	–	–	W
19/09	Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III	1-1	5-1	4	2	W
12/09	CS Carpati Covasna Romania Liga III	–	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D

ACS Medias 2022

LDDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III	–	3-0	–	–	W
23/10	ACS Sepsi II Romania Liga III	–	3-2	–	–	W
16/10	FC Inter Sibiu Romania Liga III	2-2	3-2	5	6	W
09/10	ACS Kids Tampa Brasov Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
03/10	CSM Sacele Romania Liga III	–	4-3	–	–	W
25/09	Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
22/09	CS Carpati Covasna Romania Liga III	–	4-1	–	–	W
18/09	ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	CSO Baicoi Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Corona Brasov Romania Liga III	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte vs ACS Medias 2022?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ACS Medias 2022 win (58%). Probabilities: CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 22%, draw 20%, ACS Medias 2022 58%.

How many goals are expected in CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte vs ACS Medias 2022?

The model expects 3.96 goals (CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte 1.5 · ACS Medias 2022 2.46), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSO Teleajenul Valeni de Munte vs ACS Medias 2022?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.