Football · Romania Liga III · 09/10, 14:00
Prediction: CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSO Plopeni
Team pages: CSM Ramnicu Sarat · CSO Plopeni
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
CSM Ramnicu Sarat1.15
CSO Plopeni1.8
1X2
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
Draw
CSO Plopeni
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
CSO Plopeni
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
2–1
CSO Plopeni
(3 last)
- CSO Plopeni1-2CSM Ramnicu Sarat
- CSM Ramnicu Sarat3-1CSO Plopeni
- CSO Plopeni2-0CSM Ramnicu Sarat
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSM Ramnicu Sarat 1427 · CSO Plopeni 1471
| CSM Ramnicu Sarat | Draw | CSO Plopeni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 23% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSO Plopeni (rating 1427 vs 1471).
- H2H favours CSM Ramnicu Sarat: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSM Ramnicu Sarat | CSO Plopeni | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/29/57% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.6 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Ramnicu Sarat 2–0–1 CSO Plopeni
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Romania Liga III | CSO Plopeni | 1-2 HT 0-0 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat |
| 20/03/26 Romania Liga III | CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 3-1 | CSO Plopeni |
| 25/10/25 Romania Liga III | CSO Plopeni | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM Flacara Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | CS Tunari | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 13 |
| 4 | CS Blejoi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 11 |
| 5 | ACS Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 6 | CSO Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | CS Urban Titu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Pucioasa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Paulesti | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSM Ramnicu Sarat | CSO Plopeni |
|---|---|---|
| FC Pucioasa | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Vointa 2024 Crevedia | 1-6 L | 1-0 W |
| CS Blejoi | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| ACS Progresul Draganesti | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| ACS Viitorul Corbeanca | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| CS Tunari | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/09 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | CS Blejoi Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | CS Tunari Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Dacia Unirea Braila Romania Liga III |
3-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 24/04 | Petrolul Ploiesti II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
CSO Plopeni
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | CS Blejoi Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | CS Tunari Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Paulesti Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Otelul Galati II Romania Liga III |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | ACS Victoria Traian Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Paulesti Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSO Plopeni?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CSO Plopeni win (52%). Probabilities: CSM Ramnicu Sarat 24%, draw 24%, CSO Plopeni 52%.
How many goals are expected in CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSO Plopeni?
The model expects 2.95 goals (CSM Ramnicu Sarat 1.15 · CSO Plopeni 1.8), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs CSO Plopeni?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.