Football · Romania Liga III · 09/10, 14:00

Prediction: CS Blejoi vs FC Paulesti

Team pages: CS Blejoi · FC Paulesti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

CS Blejoi2.26

FC Paulesti1.06

1X2

64% 20% 16%

CS Blejoi Draw FC Paulesti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Blejoi 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLWWD

FC Paulesti 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLDLDL

Head-to-head

CS Blejoi 4–1–1 FC Paulesti (6 last)

FC Paulesti6-2CS Blejoi
FC Paulesti0-0CS Blejoi
CS Blejoi2-0FC Paulesti
CS Blejoi6-2FC Paulesti
FC Paulesti0-1CS Blejoi
FC Paulesti3-5CS Blejoi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Blejoi 1503 · FC Paulesti 1439

	CS Blejoi	Draw	FC Paulesti
Our model	64%	21%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Blejoi (rating 1503 vs 1439).
H2H favours CS Blejoi: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Blejoi	FC Paulesti
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	57/29/14%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.1	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.60

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:38 +19’	1.40	4.60	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Blejoi 4–1–1 FC Paulesti

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/26 Romania Cup	FC Paulesti	6-2 HT 3-2	CS Blejoi
13/12/25 Romania Liga III	FC Paulesti	0-0 HT 0-0	CS Blejoi
26/09/25 Romania Liga III	CS Blejoi	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Paulesti
01/11/24 Romania Liga III	CS Blejoi	6-2 HT 3-2	FC Paulesti
31/08/24 Romania Liga III	FC Paulesti	0-1 HT 0-0	CS Blejoi
28/10/23 Romania Liga III	FC Paulesti	3-5 HT 1-2	CS Blejoi

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Flacara Moreni	7	6	1	0	24	5	19
2	CS Tunari	7	5	1	1	14	9	16
3	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca	7	4	1	2	18	15	13
4	CS Blejoi	7	3	2	2	16	9	11
5	ACS Progresul Draganesti	7	3	2	2	11	12	11
6	CSO Plopeni	7	3	1	3	6	10	10
7	Vointa 2024 Crevedia	7	3	1	3	17	14	10
8	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca	7	1	3	3	2	7	6
9	CS Urban Titu	7	1	3	3	8	14	6
10	FC Pucioasa	7	1	3	3	6	6	6
11	CSM Ramnicu Sarat	7	1	2	4	6	17	5
12	FC Paulesti	7	0	2	5	4	14	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Blejoi	FC Paulesti
CS Urban Titu	1-1 D	0-3 L
Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca	6-1 W	0-3 L
CSO Plopeni	3-0 W	0-1 L
CSM Flacara Moreni	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CS Blejoi (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Blejoi

LLWLWDLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	CS Urban Titu Romania Liga III	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/09	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III	4-0	6-1	5	3	W
22/09	CSO Plopeni Romania Liga III	1-0	3-0	13	6	W
18/09	CSM Ramnicu Sarat Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	20	4	L
12/09	FC Pucioasa Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
04/09	Vointa 2024 Crevedia Romania Liga III	2-1	3-1	0	6	W
28/08	CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III	0-2	2-3	1	4	L
23/05	Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III	–	2-0	–	–	W
15/05	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
09/05	Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III	–	2-4	–	–	L

FC Paulesti

WWLLLLDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	ACS Progresul Draganesti Romania Liga III	2-0	2-3	4	4	L
25/09	ACS Viitorul Corbeanca Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
22/09	CS Tunari Romania Liga III	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
18/09	CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	CS Urban Titu Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca Romania Liga III	–	0-3	–	–	L
29/08	CSO Plopeni Romania Liga III	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Dacia Unirea Braila Romania Liga III	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
09/05	Petrolul Ploiesti II Romania Liga III	–	4-3	–	–	W
02/05	CSO Plopeni Romania Liga III	0-1	2-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Blejoi vs FC Paulesti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Blejoi win (64%). Probabilities: CS Blejoi 64%, draw 20%, FC Paulesti 16%.

How many goals are expected in CS Blejoi vs FC Paulesti?

The model expects 3.33 goals (CS Blejoi 2.26 · FC Paulesti 1.06), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Blejoi vs FC Paulesti?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.