Football · Romania Liga III · 09/10, 14:00
Prediction: Inainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi
Team pages: Inainte Modelu · Dunarea Calarasi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Inainte Modelu1.77
Dunarea Calarasi1.35
1X2
Inainte Modelu
Draw
Dunarea Calarasi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Inainte Modelu
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Dunarea Calarasi
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inainte Modelu
2–1–3
Dunarea Calarasi
(6 last)
- Dunarea Calarasi2-0Inainte Modelu
- Dunarea Calarasi1-1Inainte Modelu
- Inainte Modelu2-1Dunarea Calarasi
- Inainte Modelu0-2Dunarea Calarasi
- Dunarea Calarasi2-0Inainte Modelu
- Inainte Modelu2-0Dunarea Calarasi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inainte Modelu 1538 · Dunarea Calarasi 1482
| Inainte Modelu | Draw | Dunarea Calarasi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inainte Modelu (rating 1538 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Dunarea Calarasi: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inainte Modelu | Dunarea Calarasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0 | 0.7 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inainte Modelu 2–1–3 Dunarea Calarasi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 Romania Cup | Dunarea Calarasi | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Inainte Modelu |
| 08/11/25 Romania Liga III | Dunarea Calarasi | 1-1 | Inainte Modelu |
| 29/08/25 Romania Liga III | Inainte Modelu | 2-1 | Dunarea Calarasi |
| 30/07/25 Romania Cup | Inainte Modelu | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Dunarea Calarasi |
| 16/11/24 Romania Liga III | Dunarea Calarasi | 2-0 | Inainte Modelu |
| 13/09/24 Romania Liga III | Inainte Modelu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dunarea Calarasi |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Agricola Borcea | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | CS Agigea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Inainte Modelu | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | CSA Axiopolis | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 6 | CS Sporting Liesti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 12 |
| 7 | ACS Progresul Fundulea | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunarea Calarasi | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Unirea Branistea | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | Gloria Baneasa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
| 11 | Otelul Galati II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
| 12 | CS Portul Constanta | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inainte Modelu | Dunarea Calarasi |
|---|---|---|
| CS Agigea | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CS Portul Constanta | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| CS Sporting Liesti | 4-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Gloria Baneasa | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| CSA Axiopolis | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| CSM Flacara Moreni | 1-0 W | 2-7 L |
| CS Stefanesti | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Inainte Modelu (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inainte Modelu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Unirea Branistea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | CS Agigea Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III |
3-0 | 4-3 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III |
– | 4-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | CS Stefanesti Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Dunarea Calarasi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | CS Agigea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | CS Portul Constanta Romania Liga III |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 23/09 | CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/09 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/08 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | CSM Flacara Moreni Romania Liga III |
– | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | CS Stefanesti Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inainte Modelu win (47%). Probabilities: Inainte Modelu 47%, draw 25%, Dunarea Calarasi 29%.
How many goals are expected in Inainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Inainte Modelu 1.77 · Dunarea Calarasi 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Inainte Modelu vs Dunarea Calarasi?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.